← Smart money
0x234e…86bd
SharpEdge
+13.8pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
70% @ 56.1¢
Brier
0.218
Resolved
103
Avg size
$10
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 69% (9/13) | +5% | 13 |
| Politics | 67% (6/9) | +40% | 9 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -73% | 3 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +66% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +56% | 1 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (9/13)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (6/9)
- ROI
- +40%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -73%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +66%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +56%
Track record
66% hit · 19/29- Yes$31 @ 58.9¢
- No$6 @ 72.0¢
- No$20 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$279 @ 54.5¢
- Yes$63 @ 56.4¢
- No$25 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 57.1¢
- No$9 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$61 @ 53.0¢
- Trail Blazers$5 @ 41.0¢
- No$3 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- BNK FEARX$47 @ 74.1¢
- No$32 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 57.9¢
- No$18 @ 52.0¢
- No$48 @ 46.3¢
- Magic$5 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
- No$5 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 51.0¢
- No$3 @ 65.0¢
- No$5 @ 51.0¢
- Habs$20 @ 53.0¢
- No$16 @ 66.0¢
- No$17 @ 64.0¢
- No$19 @ 63.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $90 in June? | Crypto | No | $40 | 94.0¢ |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | No | $40 | 90.0¢ |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $20 | 93.5¢ |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in June? | Crypto | No | $8 | 93.0¢ |
- No$40 @ 94.0¢
- No$40 @ 90.0¢
- No$20 @ 93.5¢
- No$8 @ 93.0¢