0x2348…c794

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x23483ad0a5dac45f24915f7a4351c8c2650bc794
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+31.1pp

ROI

+48%

Win rate

87% @ 55.6¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

Avg size

$12

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	50% (6/12)	+138%	12
Other	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Politics12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+138%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 6/14

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?	Yes	$4	3.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Won
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$2.5k	37.5¢	Won
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	$159	42.5¢	Won
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	$863	71.7¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	$4	67.8¢	Won
Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?	Yes	$45	30.0¢	Lost
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	4.0¢	Won

Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Lost
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 37.5¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
No$159 @ 42.5¢
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Won
Yes$863 @ 71.7¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 67.8¢
Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?Lost
Yes$45 @ 30.0¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Politics	No	$14.8k	87.2¢
Will Aleksandar Čupić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Politics	No	$381	89.3¢
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	No	$252	59.0¢
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?	Politics	No	$38	86.0¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$10	0.1¢
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?	—	Yes	$4	3.0¢
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	26.0¢
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.2¢
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics
No$14.8k @ 87.2¢
Will Aleksandar Čupić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics
No$381 @ 89.3¢
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
No$252 @ 59.0¢
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics
No$38 @ 86.0¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?—
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 26.0¢
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢