← Smart money
0x2307…1b45
ProfitableEdge
+16.3pp
ROI
+58%
Win rate
42% @ 26.1¢
Brier
0.231
Resolved
125
Avg size
$63
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 43% (18/42) | +79% | 42 |
| Politics | 8% (1/12) | -76% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
- Other42 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (18/42)
- ROI
- +79%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 8% (1/12)
- ROI
- -76%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
33% hit · 19/58- No$39 @ 22.0¢
- No$13 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$52 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$65 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$134 @ 10.0¢
- No$50 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$204 @ 41.9¢
- No$75 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$212 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$240 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 5.1¢
- No$74 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$211 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$192 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$63 @ 7.4¢
- Yes$344 @ 19.8¢
- No$58 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$242 @ 30.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$331 @ 64.0¢
- No$20 @ 26.9¢
- Yes$833 @ 12.9¢
- Yes$154 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$123 @ 31.5¢
- No$50 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$829 @ 66.4¢
- Yes$234 @ 48.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 36.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$338 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$13 @ 10.7¢
- No$10 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$358 @ 27.7¢
- Yes$46 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$92 @ 25.0¢
- No$50 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$40 @ 14.0¢
- No$75 @ 39.0¢
- No$100 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$295 @ 17.0¢
- No$154 @ 33.3¢
- Yes$200 @ 3.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Yes | $131 | 23.8¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Politics | No | $50 | 24.0¢ |
- Yes$131 @ 23.8¢
- No$50 @ 24.0¢