0x2304…24bf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x230402cd8f6b6ec23d65f4866b229207386124bf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.5pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

87% @ 67.8¢

Brier

0.127

Resolved

Avg size

$17

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	92% (23/25)	-0%	25
Other	73% (11/15)	+20%	15
Sports	67% (2/3)	-2%	3
Politics	50% (1/2)	-4%	2

Science25 bets
Hit rate
92% (23/25)
ROI
-0%
Other15 bets
Hit rate
73% (11/15)
ROI
+20%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-2%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-4%

Track record

82% hit · 37/45

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	No	$43	86.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on October 15?	No	$125	97.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	No	$1.8k	99.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	No	$2.2k	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 13?	No	$120	99.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 13?	No	$18	84.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on October 13?	No	$171	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 13?	No	$157	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 13?	No	$557	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?	No	$210	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 12?	No	$40	99.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?	No	$82	96.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 12?	No	$100	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 10?	No	$96	95.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on October 10?	No	$100	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 10?	No	$98	98.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?	No	$70	99.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 8?	No	$20	98.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on October 8?	No	$64	99.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on October 6?	No	$99	99.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 6?	No	$50	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 6?	No	$30	91.1¢	Won
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$498	99.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 4?	No	$99	98.7¢	Won
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$22	68.4¢	Won
Cowboys vs. Giants	Giants	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?	No	$229	80.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 4?	No	$192	84.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 31?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Lost
49ers vs. Rams	49ers	$41	80.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?	Yes	$40	53.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 2?	Yes	$5	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?	No	$80	88.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 17?	Yes	$26	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?	Yes	$8	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	Yes	$16	42.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 21?	No	$193	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 2?	Yes	$5	42.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 7?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$8	80.0¢	Won
Broncos vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$26	86.5¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$18	88.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$25	83.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 31?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$5	83.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?Won
No$43 @ 86.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on October 15?Won
No$125 @ 97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?Won
No$1.8k @ 99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?Won
No$2.2k @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 13?Won
No$120 @ 99.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 13?Won
No$18 @ 84.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on October 13?Won
No$171 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 13?Won
No$157 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 13?Won
No$557 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?Won
No$210 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 12?Won
No$40 @ 99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?Won
No$82 @ 96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 12?Won
No$100 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 10?Won
No$96 @ 95.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on October 10?Won
No$100 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 10?Won
No$98 @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?Lost
No$70 @ 99.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 8?Won
No$20 @ 98.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on October 8?Won
No$64 @ 99.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on October 6?Won
No$99 @ 99.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 6?Won
No$50 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 6?Won
No$30 @ 91.1¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$498 @ 99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 4?Won
No$99 @ 98.7¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$22 @ 68.4¢
Cowboys vs. GiantsWon
Giants$9 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?Won
No$229 @ 80.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 4?Won
No$192 @ 84.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
49ers vs. RamsWon
49ers$41 @ 80.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?Won
Yes$40 @ 53.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?Won
No$80 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 17?Lost
Yes$26 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?Lost
Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?Won
Yes$16 @ 42.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 21?Won
No$193 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 2?Won
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 7?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$8 @ 80.0¢
Broncos vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$26 @ 86.5¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$18 @ 88.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$25 @ 83.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Lost
Yes$5 @ 83.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on October 15?	Science	No	$125	97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Science	No	$43	86.9¢

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on October 15?Science
No$125 @ 97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?Science
No$43 @ 86.9¢