0x22fa…8135

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x22fa6aca52594370b0a71980eef52af9abc88135
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.0pp

ROI

+235%

Win rate

5% @ 2.2¢

Brier

0.045

Resolved

3645

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	9% (115/1337)	+259%	1337
Sports	15% (5/34)	+27%	34
Politics	14% (2/14)	+98%	14
Culture	10% (1/10)	-42%	10
Geopolitics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1337 bets
Hit rate
9% (115/1337)
ROI
+259%
Sports34 bets
Hit rate
15% (5/34)
ROI
+27%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
14% (2/14)
ROI
+98%
Culture10 bets
Hit rate
10% (1/10)
ROI
-42%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

9% hit · 123/1403

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 1?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$14	27.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 18?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 8?	Yes	$8	1.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $116K on September 3?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$24	4.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $113K on August 24 at 4PM ET?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 16?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 14?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $102K on September 5?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 16?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$15	29.5¢	Won
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$22	23.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on November 23?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 20?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 14?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	$3	12.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 28?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Ethereum above $4200 on September 8?	No	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 20?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 2?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 11?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 21?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Ethereum above $4700 on September 8?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on November 4?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $5000 and $5200 on August 29?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 26?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 18?	No	$9	6.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $113K on September 6 at 4PM ET?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?	No	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 23?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$9	30.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 17?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 9?	No	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 20?	Yes	$4	3.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 1?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on September 5 at 4PM ET?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 12?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will a player representing Ecuador be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 3?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 9?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on October 18?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 12?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1	3.4¢	Lost

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$14 @ 27.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 8?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
Bitcoin above $116K on September 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$24 @ 4.9¢
Bitcoin above $113K on August 24 at 4PM ET?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 16?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Bitcoin above $102K on September 5?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 16?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$15 @ 29.5¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$22 @ 23.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on November 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 14?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 12.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 28?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Ethereum above $4200 on September 8?Lost
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Ethereum above $4700 on September 8?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on November 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $5000 and $5200 on August 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 18?Won
No$9 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $113K on September 6 at 4PM ET?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?Lost
No$3 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$9 @ 30.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 17?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 9?Lost
No$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 20?Won
Yes$4 @ 3.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on September 5 at 4PM ET?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 12?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will a player representing Ecuador be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on October 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 12?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$55	55.0¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$51	51.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$8	8.4¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$5	5.1¢
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$3	3.0¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Julian Ryerson (Dortmund) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Politics	Yes	$0	1.0¢

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$51 @ 51.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$8 @ 8.4¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$5 @ 5.1¢
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Julian Ryerson (Dortmund) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Politics
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢