0x22fa…8135

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x22fa6aca52594370b0a71980eef52af9abc88135
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.5pp

ROI

+179%

Win rate

5% @ 2.7¢

Brier

0.044

Resolved

3949

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	8% (125/1510)	+207%	1510
Sports	11% (7/61)	-16%	61
Politics	8% (2/24)	-4%	24
Crypto	0% (0/15)	-100%	15
Culture	8% (1/12)	-71%	12
Geopolitics	9% (1/11)	-64%	11
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1510 bets
Hit rate
8% (125/1510)
ROI
+207%
Sports61 bets
Hit rate
11% (7/61)
ROI
-16%
Politics24 bets
Hit rate
8% (2/24)
ROI
-4%
Crypto15 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/15)
ROI
-100%
Culture12 bets
Hit rate
8% (1/12)
ROI
-71%
Geopolitics11 bets
Hit rate
9% (1/11)
ROI
-64%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

8% hit · 136/1634

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 1?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$14	27.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 18?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 8?	Yes	$8	1.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $116K on September 3?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$24	4.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $113K on August 24 at 4PM ET?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 16?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 14?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $102K on September 5?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 16?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$15	29.5¢	Won
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$22	23.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on November 23?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 20?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 14?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	$3	12.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 28?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Ethereum above $4200 on September 8?	No	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 20?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 2?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 11?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 21?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Ethereum above $4700 on September 8?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on November 4?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $5000 and $5200 on August 29?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 26?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 18?	No	$9	6.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $113K on September 6 at 4PM ET?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?	No	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 23?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$9	30.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 17?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 9?	No	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 20?	Yes	$4	3.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 1?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on September 5 at 4PM ET?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 12?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will a player representing Ecuador be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 3?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 9?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on October 18?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 12?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1	3.4¢	Lost

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$14 @ 27.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 8?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
Bitcoin above $116K on September 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$24 @ 4.9¢
Bitcoin above $113K on August 24 at 4PM ET?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 16?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Bitcoin above $102K on September 5?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 16?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$15 @ 29.5¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$22 @ 23.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on November 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 14?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 12.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 28?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Ethereum above $4200 on September 8?Lost
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Ethereum above $4700 on September 8?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on November 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $5000 and $5200 on August 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 18?Won
No$9 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $113K on September 6 at 4PM ET?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?Lost
No$3 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$9 @ 30.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 17?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 9?Lost
No$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 20?Won
Yes$4 @ 3.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on September 5 at 4PM ET?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 12?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will a player representing Ecuador be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on September 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on October 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on September 12?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$139	7.0¢
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$67	33.6¢
Solana Up or Down - July 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	—	Up	$50	87.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	—	Yes	$48	1.5¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$42	17.0¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$29	5.8¢
Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$23	46.0¢
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$23	22.8¢
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	—	No	$22	11.8¢
Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?	Sports	Yes	$21	4.2¢
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?	—	No	$20	26.9¢
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$20	13.0¢
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	—	Yes	$18	1.2¢
Will David Raya record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Sports	Yes	$18	35.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Sports	Yes	$15	30.0¢
Will Cutting Through Rocks win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	—	Yes	$15	1.5¢
Will Sevilla qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?	Sports	Yes	$15	5.9¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	—	Yes	$14	4.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	—	Yes	$12	57.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	—	Yes	$11	21.9¢
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	—	Yes	$11	21.0¢
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	—	Up	$10	88.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	—	Up	$10	49.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	—	Up	$10	49.0¢
Will Inter Milan keep the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A?	Sports	Yes	$9	11.0¢
Will the announcers say "Brilliant" 15+ times during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?	—	No	$9	18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?	—	No	$9	8.6¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$8	8.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$8	8.4¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	—	Yes	$8	16.0¢

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1?—
Yes$139 @ 7.0¢
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$67 @ 33.6¢
Solana Up or Down - July 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET—
Up$50 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?—
Yes$48 @ 1.5¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$42 @ 17.0¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$29 @ 5.8¢
Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?Sports
Yes$23 @ 46.0¢
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$23 @ 22.8¢
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?—
No$22 @ 11.8¢
Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?Sports
Yes$21 @ 4.2¢
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?—
No$20 @ 26.9¢
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?—
Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?—
Yes$18 @ 1.2¢
Will David Raya record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Sports
Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Sports
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Will Cutting Through Rocks win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?—
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
Will Sevilla qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League?Sports
Yes$15 @ 5.9¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?—
Yes$14 @ 4.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?—
Yes$12 @ 57.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?—
Yes$11 @ 21.9¢
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?—
Yes$11 @ 21.0¢
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET—
Up$10 @ 88.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET—
Up$10 @ 49.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET—
Up$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Inter Milan keep the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A?Sports
Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
Will the announcers say "Brilliant" 15+ times during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?—
No$9 @ 18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?—
No$9 @ 8.6¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$8 @ 8.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$8 @ 8.4¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?—
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢