0x22c2…9d56

Specialization by sphere

• Politics20 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (17/20)

  ROI

  -0%

• Other19 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (13/19)

  ROI

  +23%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +14%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +27%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +18%

• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Won
  Yes$435 @ 98.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$423 @ 84.6¢
• Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.36T?Won
  Yes$13 @ 67.0¢
• Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B?Won
  Yes$24 @ 60.0¢
• Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Won
  Bolsonaro$176 @ 88.0¢
• Will Renato Casagrande win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 5.0¢
• Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Won
  Yes$119 @ 91.7¢
• Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Won
  No$238 @ 97.0¢
• Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Won
  Yes$97 @ 97.0¢
• Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Won
  Yes$86 @ 97.2¢
• Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Won
  No$329 @ 99.6¢
• Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Won
  No$45 @ 89.9¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$12.8k @ 98.7¢
• Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$31 @ 92.0¢
• Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$386 @ 98.9¢
• Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Won
  Yes$191 @ 96.7¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$1.5k @ 99.7¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$6 @ 97.1¢
• Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Won
  No$4.4k @ 99.5¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Won
  No$188 @ 94.0¢
• Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
• Trump out as President by April 30?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 2.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
  No$255 @ 85.0¢
• Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Won
  Yes$25 @ 82.9¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$346 @ 86.4¢
• Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,500 and 7,000?Won
  Yes$11 @ 8.8¢
• Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?Won
  Yes$177 @ 80.8¢
• Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Won
  Yes$628 @ 83.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$5 @ 23.9¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Lost
  No$0 @ 1.0¢
• Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Won
  Yes$14 @ 69.5¢
• Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 78.0¢
• US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Won
  No$7 @ 65.0¢
• Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Won
  No$18 @ 88.0¢
• Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro PlayoffsLost
  FaZe$9 @ 88.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
  Yes$504 @ 80.0¢
• Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Won
  Yes$416 @ 83.2¢
• Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?Won
  Yes$6 @ 79.0¢
• Counter-Strike: EMPIRE vs Clockwork (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group StageWon
  EMPIRE$5 @ 49.0¢
• Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$23 @ 1.1¢
• Counter-Strike: Akimbo Esports vs regain (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group StageWon
  regain$5 @ 50.0¢

Current positions

• New pandemic in 2026?Geopolitics
  No$14.5k @ 95.6¢
• Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech
  No$4.5k @ 91.0¢
• Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?Sports
  No$1.2k @ 91.5¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$964 @ 96.4¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$935 @ 93.5¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Politics
  Yes$556 @ 97.9¢
• Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$466 @ 93.3¢
• Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
  Yes$458 @ 91.4¢
• Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?Other
  Roblox$278 @ 88.0¢
• Will Valve add first CS2 operation by October 31, 2026?Sports
  No$157 @ 78.7¢
• Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Other
  No$124 @ 82.9¢
• Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026?Other
  No$101 @ 87.1¢
• Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026?Other
  No$88 @ 87.6¢
• Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026?Other
  No$39 @ 93.0¢
• Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$26 @ 86.0¢
• Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?Crypto
  No$14 @ 69.0¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 0.6¢