0x21ef…5ac7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x21eff8805c58c701f4419bfa1d464df421145ac7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.4pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

25% @ 17.9¢

Brier

0.147

Resolved

186

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	13% (7/55)	-62%	55
Sports	38% (16/42)	+72%	42
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other55 bets
Hit rate
13% (7/55)
ROI
-62%
Sports42 bets
Hit rate
38% (16/42)
ROI
+72%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

22% hit · 23/103

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$5	68.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$5	61.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$117	19.7¢	Lost
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$2	28.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$36	5.8¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$2	64.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	$5	41.2¢	Won
Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$1	7.1¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$3	49.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$2	49.0¢	Won
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	12.6¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	$10	2.9¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$3	40.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	$2	10.5¢	Won
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$87	11.4¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$5	59.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	$9	1.2¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$5	56.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$2	66.0¢	Won
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	$10	3.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 2 - 0 FC Barcelona?	Yes	$2	4.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	$2	5.2¢	Lost
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$2	4.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$20	53.1¢	Won
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$5	36.6¢	Won
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$20	24.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$5 @ 25.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$117 @ 19.7¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$36 @ 5.8¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$2 @ 64.0¢
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil MedvedevWon
Daniil Medvedev$5 @ 41.2¢
Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.1¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$3 @ 49.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.6¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Lost
No$10 @ 2.9¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$3 @ 40.0¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?Won
Yes$2 @ 10.5¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$87 @ 11.4¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 59.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.2¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 56.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$2 @ 66.0¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Real Madrid CF?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Won
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.7¢
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 2 - 0 FC Barcelona?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.8¢
Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.2¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.3¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$20 @ 53.1¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$5 @ 36.6¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 24.4¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$50	12.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$30	13.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$20	9.0¢
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$15	38.0¢

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$50 @ 12.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$30 @ 13.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$15 @ 38.0¢