← Smart money
0x21d5…9925
ProfitableEdge
+7.7pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
76% @ 68.1¢
Brier
0.156
Resolved
334
Avg size
$53
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 65% (17/26) | -20% | 26 |
| Politics | 68% (13/19) | -6% | 19 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +24% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other26 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (17/26)
- ROI
- -20%
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (13/19)
- ROI
- -6%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +24%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
67% hit · 32/48- Yes$1.9k @ 44.9¢
- Yes$193 @ 88.7¢
- No$803 @ 72.5¢
- No$24 @ 15.3¢
- No$20 @ 39.0¢
- No$5 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$896 @ 72.5¢
- No$437 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 66.5¢
- No$135 @ 88.0¢
- No$4 @ 89.7¢
- Yes$544 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$444 @ 86.7¢
- No$1.6k @ 86.6¢
- Yes$14 @ 77.0¢
- No$753 @ 75.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 67.8¢
- Yes$181 @ 72.4¢
- No$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$260 @ 65.0¢
- No$339 @ 75.4¢
- No$4 @ 86.0¢
- No$540 @ 71.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
- No$542 @ 75.3¢
- No$866 @ 74.6¢
- No$194 @ 84.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$330 @ 66.0¢
- No$173 @ 59.3¢
- No$4 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 75.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 2.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 84.9¢
- Yes$122 @ 61.0¢
- No$950 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 16.5¢
- No$9 @ 89.0¢
- No$89 @ 89.0¢
- No$3 @ 50.0¢
- No$84 @ 84.2¢
- No$75 @ 75.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 78.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 86.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.6k @ 84.6¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 84.8¢
- No$1.8k @ 97.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 48.3¢
- Yes$987 @ 68.1¢
- No$865 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$755 @ 91.9¢
- No$620 @ 92.5¢
- No$566 @ 95.7¢
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$425 @ 85.0¢
- No$385 @ 98.5¢
- No$330 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$264 @ 82.5¢
- Yes$198 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$144 @ 97.9¢
- Yes$120 @ 92.3¢