0x21d5…9925

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other222 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (166/222)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics47 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (36/47)

  ROI

  -3%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +5%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +24%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +1%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +64%

• Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
  No$797 @ 98.1¢
• Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?Won
  Yes$244 @ 51.6¢
• TikTok sale announced by September 30?Won
  No$332 @ 66.4¢
• Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
  No$1.9k @ 86.2¢
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Won
  No$593 @ 70.9¢
• Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Won
  No$150 @ 75.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Won
  No$61 @ 61.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.9k @ 44.9¢
• Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Lost
  Yes$1.7k @ 62.0¢
• Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?Won
  No$25 @ 62.8¢
• Yoon arrested by Friday?Won
  No$68 @ 68.0¢
• Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
• New pandemic before July?Won
  No$209 @ 87.8¢
• Trump trade deal in April?Won
  No$10 @ 14.7¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Won
  No$175 @ 83.2¢
• Will China counter tariff the U.S. in April?Lost
  No$4 @ 10.0¢
• Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Won
  Yes$99 @ 89.0¢
• Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Won
  No$4 @ 80.0¢
• Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?Won
  No$474 @ 87.7¢
• Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Won
  No$176 @ 88.0¢
• Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?Won
  No$258 @ 85.3¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Won
  No$152 @ 73.1¢
• Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Lost
  No$63 @ 4.7¢
• DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?Won
  No$44 @ 87.0¢
• Will China join the Board of Peace?Won
  No$26 @ 84.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Lost
  No$156 @ 78.0¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
  No$2.6k @ 80.1¢
• Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Lost
  No$255 @ 44.6¢
• Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?Won
  No$89 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?Lost
  Yes$138 @ 69.0¢
• Yoon reinstated as President before July?Won
  No$932 @ 74.0¢
• Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$193 @ 88.7¢
• Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Won
  No$9 @ 88.6¢
• Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Won
  No$235 @ 71.3¢
• Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Won
  No$880 @ 88.0¢
• Will FBI send Pam Bondi the full Epstein files by Friday?Won
  No$84 @ 84.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$803 @ 72.5¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$70 @ 40.1¢
• US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?Won
  No$4 @ 76.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$1.6k @ 78.8¢
• Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
  No$947 @ 86.1¢
• Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?Won
  No$24 @ 15.3¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?Won
  No$4 @ 84.0¢
• US strike on Mexico by January 31?Won
  No$1.1k @ 83.0¢
• Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?Won
  No$599 @ 76.4¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Won
  No$108 @ 71.9¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Won
  Yes$656 @ 82.5¢

Current positions

• Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
  No$3.5k @ 84.6¢
• Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 93.7¢
• Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.4k @ 93.2¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 87.7¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 50.0¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$1.3k @ 84.9¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
  Yes$996 @ 70.9¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
  Yes$691 @ 74.7¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  Yes$561 @ 81.9¢
• Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics
  Yes$494 @ 91.4¢
• Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics
  No$462 @ 81.2¢
• Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$450 @ 90.0¢
• Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?Politics
  No$423 @ 94.0¢
• Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$280 @ 93.4¢
• Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
  No$215 @ 71.7¢
• America.gov removed by October 31?Politics
  No$68 @ 91.0¢
• Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Politics
  No$11 @ 85.0¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5 @ 95.0¢