← Smart money
0x21d3…8d3f
ProfitableEdge
+11.7pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
57% @ 45.0¢
Brier
0.244
Resolved
208
Avg size
$126
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 41% (19/46) | +10% | 46 |
| Politics | 63% (12/19) | +64% | 19 |
| Sports | 100% (2/2) | +46% | 2 |
- Other46 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (19/46)
- ROI
- +10%
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (12/19)
- ROI
- +64%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +46%
Track record
49% hit · 33/67- No$49 @ 68.8¢
- No$169 @ 66.1¢
- Yes$57 @ 75.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 62.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$67 @ 13.0¢
- No$170 @ 75.4¢
- No$572 @ 54.2¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 62.2¢
- No$147 @ 53.7¢
- Yes$54 @ 66.2¢
- No$625 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 66.9¢
- No$76 @ 47.9¢
- No$206 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$349 @ 32.7¢
- No$242 @ 52.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$299 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$964 @ 43.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$39 @ 74.0¢
- No$875 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 43.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
- No$314 @ 19.9¢
- No$375 @ 44.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 54.5¢
- No$12 @ 0.1¢
- No$56 @ 69.8¢
- No$142 @ 26.8¢
- No$911 @ 61.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
- No$1.3k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 23.0¢
- No$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$489 @ 77.0¢
- No$689 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- No$707 @ 57.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 44.4¢
- Yes$260 @ 60.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | — | Yes | $263 | 21.3¢ |
- Yes$263 @ 21.3¢