0x21c5…3533

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x21c52a310ce110d58270e2d5a9676c217a5e3533
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.8pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

80% @ 75.7¢

Brier

0.135

Resolved

901

Avg size

$87

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	79% (247/313)	+9%	313
Crypto	80% (86/108)	+9%	108
Sports	57% (20/35)	-5%	35
Tech	88% (7/8)	+17%	8
Politics	67% (2/3)	+2%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+22%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other313 bets
Hit rate
79% (247/313)
ROI
+9%
Crypto108 bets
Hit rate
80% (86/108)
ROI
+9%
Sports35 bets
Hit rate
57% (20/35)
ROI
-5%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
88% (7/8)
ROI
+17%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

77% hit · 363/469

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?	No	$217	99.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	No	$244	97.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	$47	93.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	$20	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	No	$69	92.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	$92	96.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	$16	90.7¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$22	88.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	$40	80.5¢	Won
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$22	89.7¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	$33	43.6¢	Won
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$104	99.0¢	Won
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$69	98.7¢	Won
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$48	95.9¢	Won
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$48	95.0¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	$35	46.0¢	Lost
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$74	98.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	$54	90.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	$33	94.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?	No	$24	80.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?	Yes	$26	86.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14?	No	$16	66.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	No	$13	86.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?	Yes	$38	76.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$222	88.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	No	$19	75.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	No	$45	89.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$18	72.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26?	No	$19	77.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?	Yes	$19	73.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?	Yes	$21	85.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	$19	74.0¢	Won
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	$12	47.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15?	No	$13	87.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	No	$44	86.2¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$433	86.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?	No	$19	74.8¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$209	82.7¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.1k	40.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	Yes	$36	88.1¢	Won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$15	65.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$84	83.3¢	Won
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	$42	83.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?	No	$41	81.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?	Yes	$16	76.5¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of May 18 2026?	No	$4	74.0¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?Won
No$217 @ 99.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?Won
No$244 @ 97.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?Won
No$47 @ 93.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?Won
No$20 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?Won
No$69 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?Won
No$92 @ 96.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?Won
No$16 @ 90.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$22 @ 88.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.5¢
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$22 @ 89.7¢
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
Yes$33 @ 43.6¢
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$104 @ 99.0¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$69 @ 98.7¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$48 @ 95.9¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$48 @ 95.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$35 @ 46.0¢
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$74 @ 98.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?Won
Yes$54 @ 90.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?Lost
Yes$33 @ 94.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?Lost
No$24 @ 80.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?Won
Yes$26 @ 86.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14?Lost
No$16 @ 66.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?Won
No$13 @ 86.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Won
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?Won
Yes$38 @ 76.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$222 @ 88.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?Won
No$19 @ 75.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Won
No$45 @ 89.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$18 @ 72.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26?Won
No$19 @ 77.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?Won
Yes$19 @ 73.0¢
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?Lost
Yes$21 @ 85.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?Won
Yes$19 @ 74.0¢
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Won
Yes$12 @ 47.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15?Won
No$13 @ 87.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?Won
No$44 @ 86.2¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$433 @ 86.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?Won
No$19 @ 74.8¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$209 @ 82.7¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 40.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?Won
Yes$36 @ 88.1¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 65.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$84 @ 83.3¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?Won
Yes$42 @ 83.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?Won
No$41 @ 81.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?Lost
Yes$16 @ 76.5¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of May 18 2026?Won
No$4 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$9.6k	95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$5.8k	96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$5.6k	92.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$4.7k	94.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$4.2k	94.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3.9k	79.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	No	$3.4k	99.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3.1k	91.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.1k	85.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	No	$984	98.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$721	84.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$476	95.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$473	94.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	No	$244	97.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$242	96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	No	$217	99.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$208	83.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$199	88.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	No	$195	97.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	No	$118	94.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$106	70.9¢
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$104	99.0¢
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$74	98.7¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$69	98.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	Crypto	Yes	$54	90.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$53	71.3¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$48	95.9¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$48	95.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Tech	Yes	$43	86.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$43	85.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Crypto
No$9.6k @ 95.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?Crypto
No$5.8k @ 96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Crypto
No$5.6k @ 92.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Crypto
No$4.7k @ 94.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Crypto
No$4.2k @ 94.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$3.9k @ 79.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?Crypto
No$3.4k @ 99.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$3.1k @ 91.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.1k @ 85.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?Crypto
No$984 @ 98.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Crypto
No$721 @ 84.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Crypto
No$476 @ 95.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Crypto
No$473 @ 94.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?Crypto
No$244 @ 97.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Crypto
No$242 @ 96.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?Crypto
No$217 @ 99.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Crypto
No$208 @ 83.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$199 @ 88.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?Crypto
No$195 @ 97.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?Crypto
No$118 @ 94.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$106 @ 70.9¢
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Sports
No$104 @ 99.0¢
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Sports
No$74 @ 98.7¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Sports
No$69 @ 98.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?Crypto
Yes$54 @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Crypto
No$53 @ 71.3¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Sports
No$48 @ 95.9¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Sports
No$48 @ 95.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
Yes$43 @ 86.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$43 @ 85.0¢