← Smart money
0x21c0…4827
ProfitableEdge
+18.0pp
ROI
+180%
Win rate
57% @ 38.7¢
Brier
0.209
Resolved
60
Avg size
$164
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (15/33) | -7% | 33 |
| Politics | 67% (4/6) | +286% | 6 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | +160% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other33 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (15/33)
- ROI
- -7%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +286%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +160%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
45% hit · 20/44- No$200 @ 89.0¢
- No$164 @ 80.0¢
- No$200 @ 84.2¢
- No$300 @ 67.6¢
- No$100 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
- No$178 @ 80.5¢
- Yes$112 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 21.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 3.7¢
- No$20 @ 32.8¢
- No$148 @ 74.0¢
- No$70 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
- No$100 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 29.1¢
- No$4 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$262 @ 11.1¢
- No$7 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
- No$100 @ 85.0¢
- No$300 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 86.6¢
- No$100 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$150 @ 46.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$542 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
- No$200 @ 38.1¢
- No$200 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 23.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.6k @ 91.5¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$2.6k @ 93.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 89.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 49.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 94.4¢
- No$900 @ 90.0¢
- No$900 @ 82.5¢
- No$840 @ 84.0¢
- No$600 @ 93.5¢
- No$564 @ 92.7¢
- Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
- No$400 @ 91.8¢
- Yes$300 @ 32.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 9.0¢