0x21af…f272

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x21af26a0436f379e66c12c6089e5c2c1e1cef272
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.1pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

69% @ 55.3¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

408

Avg size

$125

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (12/17)	+24%	17
Sports	60% (3/5)	+48%	5
Politics	67% (2/3)	+21%	3
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other17 bets
Hit rate
71% (12/17)
ROI
+24%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+48%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+21%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

65% hit · 17/26

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini	Grigor Dimitrov	$5.5k	45.5¢	Won
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	$1.7k	14.2¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$4.7k	60.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$1.5k	46.3¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	$195	41.9¢	Won
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter	Elena Rybakina	$1.4k	54.9¢	Lost
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	$204	28.9¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$340	23.6¢	Won
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik	Frances Tiafoe	$250	35.5¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	No	$5.8k	76.0¢	Won
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys	Madison Keys	$595	37.6¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$86	62.6¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1.9k	58.6¢	Won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$102	23.0¢	Won
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$2.8k	40.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$929	35.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6.8k	75.8¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	No	$205	22.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$431	44.0¢	Won
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoe	Terence Atmane	$300	44.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$4.2k	76.1¢	Won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1.5k	64.6¢	Won
National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Joint	Sorana Cirstea	$6.7k	45.8¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	$2.5k	68.5¢	Won
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$195	2.2¢	Lost

Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo BerrettiniWon
Grigor Dimitrov$5.5k @ 45.5¢
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo BerrettiniLost
Matteo Berrettini$1.7k @ 14.2¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$4.7k @ 60.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 46.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Won
No$195 @ 41.9¢
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie BoulterLost
Elena Rybakina$1.4k @ 54.9¢
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie BoulterWon
Katie Boulter$204 @ 28.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$340 @ 23.6¢
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander BublikLost
Frances Tiafoe$250 @ 35.5¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$5.8k @ 76.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison KeysWon
Madison Keys$595 @ 37.6¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$86 @ 62.6¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 58.6¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$102 @ 23.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Lost
No$2.8k @ 40.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$929 @ 35.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$6.8k @ 75.8¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Won
No$205 @ 22.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$431 @ 44.0¢
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances TiafoeLost
Terence Atmane$300 @ 44.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$4.2k @ 76.1¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
No$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 64.6¢
National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya JointLost
Sorana Cirstea$6.7k @ 45.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 68.5¢
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$195 @ 2.2¢

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