0x2165…f598

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x216509be5332c6037105b4f871966eb97240f598
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-1.5pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

20% @ 21.5¢

Brier

0.117

Resolved

4464

Avg size

$12

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	22% (93/428)	+4%	428
Science	24% (80/327)	-6%	327
Sports	56% (24/43)	+36%	43
Politics	14% (2/14)	-90%	14

Other428 bets
Hit rate
22% (93/428)
ROI
+4%
Science327 bets
Hit rate
24% (80/327)
ROI
-6%
Sports43 bets
Hit rate
56% (24/43)
ROI
+36%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
14% (2/14)
ROI
-90%

Track record

25% hit · 199/812

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 11?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 11?	Yes	$4	5.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 11?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on November 11?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 11?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 11?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 11?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or higher on November 11?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on November 11?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C or below on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 11?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETLost
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETLost
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETLost
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETLost
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 11?Won
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 11?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on November 11?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 11?Won
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 11?Won
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or higher on November 11?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on November 11?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C or below on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$121	1.2¢
Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$121	1.2¢
Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$121	1.2¢
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$110	0.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	—	Up	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	—	Up	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	—	Up	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	—	Up	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	—	Up	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	—	Up	$100	50.0¢
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$56	0.1¢
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$51	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on November 11?	Science	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or higher on November 11?	Science	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on November 11?	Science	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$26	0.1¢
Will Columbus Blue Jackets be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Sports	Yes	$18	90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 11?	Science	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 11?	Science	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 11?	Science	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 11?	Science	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 11?	Science	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 11?	Science	Yes	$5	5.0¢

Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$121 @ 1.2¢
Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$121 @ 1.2¢
Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$121 @ 1.2¢
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$110 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET—
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET—
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET—
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET—
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET—
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET—
Up$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$56 @ 0.1¢
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$51 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on November 11?Science
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or higher on November 11?Science
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on November 11?Science
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$26 @ 0.1¢
Will Columbus Blue Jackets be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Sports
Yes$18 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 11?Science
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 11?Science
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 11?Science
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 11?Science
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 11?Science
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 11?Science
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢