← Smart money
0x2117…5c26
SharpROI
+25%
Win rate
68%
Brier
0.133
Resolved
629
Avg size
$202
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 20% (1/5) | -99% | 5 |
| Other | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -99%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
14% hit · 1/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | $198 | 59.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? | Yes | $5 | 44.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? | Yes | $167 | 45.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? | Yes | $3 | 30.0¢ | Won |
| Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05? | Yes | $569 | 44.9¢ | Lost |
| Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw? | Yes | $6 | 32.0¢ | Lost |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $300 | 0.3¢ | Lost |
- Minnesota Twins$198 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$569 @ 44.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 0.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$60.8k @ 53.5¢
- Yes$33.7k @ 47.0¢
- No$27.5k @ 54.9¢
- Under$16.2k @ 31.6¢
- Under$15.1k @ 58.3¢
- Yes$10.6k @ 67.0¢
- Yes$10.6k @ 20.1¢
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$10.3k @ 86.7¢
- Yes$9.7k @ 51.0¢
- Chicago White Sox$9.3k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$9.1k @ 51.4¢
- Yes$8.8k @ 58.3¢
- Yes$8.2k @ 70.4¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$7.4k @ 61.5¢
- No$6.5k @ 87.4¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 80.5¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 63.7¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 76.5¢
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)SportsBosnia and Herzegovina$5.0k @ 73.7¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 62.1¢
- No$4.3k @ 74.3¢
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?GeopoliticsYes$3.9k @ 92.7¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 66.1¢
- Spirit$3.7k @ 85.8¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 91.0¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 81.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 57.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 94.9¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 47.6¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 48.9¢