0x210c…d6c1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x210cc227c71a2b8c7748fa04728380b35cc0d6c1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.2pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

22% @ 27.4¢

Brier

0.090

Resolved

1222

Avg size

$75

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (48/82)	+1%	82
Sports	71% (10/14)	+19%	14
Politics	50% (1/2)	-2%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other82 bets
Hit rate
59% (48/82)
ROI
+1%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
71% (10/14)
ROI
+19%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-2%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

60% hit · 59/99

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?	No	$1.3k	64.0¢	Won
Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)	ACF Fiorentina	$984	82.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$4.8k	69.0¢	Won
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	$70	12.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$1.3k	52.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	No	$409	77.5¢	Lost
Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?	Yes	$48	16.0¢	Lost
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?	No	$998	76.0¢	Won
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?	No	$581	81.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 29-October 5?	Yes	$182	47.0¢	Lost
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$200	20.0¢	Won
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?	Yes	$1.1k	70.0¢	Won
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$14	0.3¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$58	68.0¢	Won
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	Yes	$99	31.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-26?	Yes	$2.4k	87.7¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$563	75.0¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$50	86.0¢	Won
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$764	82.0¢	Won
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?	No	$1.0k	84.0¢	Won
Will Getafe finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	No	$1.8k	87.0¢	Won
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	$145	29.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?	No	$1.5k	48.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$1.0k	69.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	$10	55.0¢	Lost
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	$1.5k	55.6¢	Won
Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	$25	89.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $114K on September 10?	No	$178	71.0¢	Won
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	$834	71.7¢	Lost
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	63.0¢	Won
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$141	77.7¢	Won
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?	No	$3.9k	72.0¢	Won
Will Fiorentina win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	$440	8.9¢	Lost
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?	No	$2.8k	78.0¢	Lost
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	$335	67.0¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$1.6k	40.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	$1.1k	76.0¢	Won
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$300	12.0¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	No	$3.1k	77.0¢	Won
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?	No	$218	87.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?	No	$844	84.4¢	Won
Will Liverpool be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?	No	$65	58.0¢	Won
Will Sparta Praha win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	$8	3.0¢	Lost
Will FC Augsburg finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	No	$4	85.5¢	Won
Bitcoin above $112K on September 10?	No	$2.8k	69.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2	Team Liquid	$990	74.0¢	Won

Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?Won
No$1.3k @ 64.0¢
Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)Won
ACF Fiorentina$984 @ 82.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$4.8k @ 69.0¢
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
Yes$70 @ 12.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 52.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Lost
No$409 @ 77.5¢
Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?Lost
Yes$48 @ 16.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?Won
No$998 @ 76.0¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Won
No$581 @ 81.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 29-October 5?Lost
Yes$182 @ 47.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$200 @ 20.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 70.0¢
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.3¢
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$58 @ 68.0¢
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$99 @ 31.0¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-26?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 87.7¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$563 @ 75.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$50 @ 86.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$764 @ 82.0¢
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?Won
No$1.0k @ 84.0¢
Will Getafe finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?Won
No$1.8k @ 87.0¢
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Lost
Yes$145 @ 29.0¢
Will Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?Lost
No$1.5k @ 48.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Lost
Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 55.6¢
Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Won
No$25 @ 89.0¢
Bitcoin above $114K on September 10?Won
No$178 @ 71.0¢
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Lost
Yes$834 @ 71.7¢
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 63.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$141 @ 77.7¢
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?Won
No$3.9k @ 72.0¢
Will Fiorentina win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Lost
Yes$440 @ 8.9¢
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?Lost
No$2.8k @ 78.0¢
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Lost
Olympique Lyonnais$335 @ 67.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWon
Switzerland$1.6k @ 40.0¢
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 76.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$300 @ 12.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?Won
No$3.1k @ 77.0¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Won
No$218 @ 87.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?Won
No$844 @ 84.4¢
Will Liverpool be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?Won
No$65 @ 58.0¢
Will Sparta Praha win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
Will FC Augsburg finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?Won
No$4 @ 85.5¢
Bitcoin above $112K on September 10?Lost
No$2.8k @ 69.0¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Won
Team Liquid$990 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Sports	Yes	$1.5k	34.8¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	94.4¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Crypto	No	$984	96.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Politics	No	$361	95.7¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Politics	No	$274	84.1¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?	Crypto	No	$208	95.9¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?	Crypto	No	$120	96.0¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	Crypto	No	$85	96.0¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	Crypto	No	$30	96.0¢

Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports
Yes$1.5k @ 34.8¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 94.4¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Crypto
No$984 @ 96.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics
No$361 @ 95.7¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics
No$274 @ 84.1¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?Crypto
No$208 @ 95.9¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?Crypto
No$120 @ 96.0¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Crypto
No$85 @ 96.0¢
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?Crypto
No$30 @ 96.0¢