← Smart money
0x20d6…3856
SharpEdge
+1.4pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
9% @ 7.9¢
Brier
0.007
Resolved
1367
Avg size
$119
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 15% (2/13) | +8% | 13 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +117% | 1 |
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- +8%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +117%
Track record
21% hit · 3/14| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Devin Vassell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $67 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | No | $3.0k | 14.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $10.9k | 19.3¢ | Lost |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $37.0k | 78.3¢ | Won |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $24 | 34.3¢ | Lost |
| Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $17 | 0.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $23 | 0.2¢ | Lost |
| Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $63 | 0.2¢ | Lost |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $94.5k | 78.6¢ | Won |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $9.2k | 18.4¢ | Lost |
| Will Julian Champagnie win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $12 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | San Francisco Giants | $8.2k | 46.0¢ | Won |
| Will De'Aaron Fox win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | $43 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
- Yes$67 @ 0.1¢
- No$3.0k @ 14.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- No$10.9k @ 19.3¢
- Yes$37.0k @ 78.3¢
- Yes$24 @ 34.3¢
- Yes$17 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$63 @ 0.2¢
- No$94.5k @ 78.6¢
- Yes$9.2k @ 18.4¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.1¢
- San Francisco Giants$8.2k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 0.1¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $20.4k | 98.1¢ |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Sports | Boston Red Sox | $2.2k | 37.5¢ |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Sports | New York Yankees | $1.7k | 51.0¢ |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | Yes | $852 | 3.1¢ |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | Sports | Over | $256 | 32.0¢ |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Sports | Yes | $111 | 20.2¢ |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | Yes | $91 | 3.3¢ |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Sports | New York Yankees | $81 | 26.5¢ |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Sports | Mayweather | $8 | 63.0¢ |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Sports | No | $1 | 30.0¢ |
- No$20.4k @ 98.1¢
- Boston Red Sox$2.2k @ 37.5¢
- New York Yankees$1.7k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$852 @ 3.1¢
- Over$256 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$111 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$91 @ 3.3¢
- New York Yankees$81 @ 26.5¢
- Mayweather$8 @ 63.0¢
- No$1 @ 30.0¢