0x1f85…7b02

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.8pp

ROI

+30%

Win rate

18% @ 14.8¢

Brier

0.065

Resolved

678

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	13% (130/970)	+9%	970
Science	13% (121/964)	+6%	964
Politics	16% (7/44)	+73%	44
Sports	38% (5/13)	+36%	13
Culture	20% (1/5)	-9%	5
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+5%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other970 bets
Hit rate
13% (130/970)
ROI
+9%
Science964 bets
Hit rate
13% (121/964)
ROI
+6%
Politics44 bets
Hit rate
16% (7/44)
ROI
+73%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
ROI
+36%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-9%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+5%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

13% hit · 265/2000

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	2.9¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	$8	20.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$16	50.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 24?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C or below on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	No	$1	8.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	$6	37.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$0	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C or below on June 25?	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 24?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 23?	No	$9	89.9¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 23?	Yes	$1	4.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	$2	7.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 80°F or higher on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	$1	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?	No	$35	51.8¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Lost
No$8 @ 20.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Won
Yes$16 @ 50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C or below on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?Lost
No$1 @ 8.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?Won
Yes$6 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C or below on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 23?Won
No$9 @ 89.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 80°F or higher on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?Won
No$35 @ 51.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Politics	No	$44	93.4¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Politics	No	$22	71.0¢
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$15	34.0¢
Will Brashad Hasley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Politics	Yes	$15	4.5¢
Will Nichole Miner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Politics	Yes	$15	4.5¢
Will Michael Scanlon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Politics	Yes	$14	4.5¢
Will Anthony Zimpfer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Politics	Yes	$14	4.5¢
Will Karen Breslin be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Politics	Yes	$14	4.5¢
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?	Business	Yes	$9	31.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$8	23.0¢
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$4	4.3¢
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$4	4.3¢
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$4	4.3¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be less than $900M at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$3	9.0¢
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$2	4.3¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$2	6.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$2	6.0¢
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$2	4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 25?	—	Yes	$0	0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 25?	—	Yes	$0	0.4¢
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	No	$0	0.0¢
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$0	0.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.3B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?	Business	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 25?	—	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 25?	—	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 25?	—	Yes	$0	0.0¢

Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics
No$44 @ 93.4¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics
No$22 @ 71.0¢
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$15 @ 34.0¢
Will Brashad Hasley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics
Yes$15 @ 4.5¢
Will Nichole Miner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics
Yes$15 @ 4.5¢
Will Michael Scanlon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics
Yes$14 @ 4.5¢
Will Anthony Zimpfer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics
Yes$14 @ 4.5¢
Will Karen Breslin be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics
Yes$14 @ 4.5¢
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?Business
Yes$9 @ 31.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$8 @ 23.0¢
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be less than $900M at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$2 @ 4.3¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$2 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 25?—
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 25?—
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Geopolitics
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.3B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?Business
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 25?—
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 25?—
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 25?—
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢