0x1f44…ace3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1f44742223f2cabc71770991b8acae9aa1d2ace3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.2pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

49% @ 35.0¢

Brier

0.159

Resolved

317

Avg size

$56

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (58/114)	+20%	114
Science	59% (10/17)	+27%	17
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+169%	2

Other114 bets
Hit rate
51% (58/114)
ROI
+20%
Science17 bets
Hit rate
59% (10/17)
ROI
+27%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+169%

Track record

52% hit · 69/133

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13?	Yes	$17	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 17?	Yes	$100	75.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?	No	$22	13.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?	Yes	$20	84.2¢	Lost
0x07d7eaa9…	No	$43	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?	No	$700	89.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?	Yes	$10	7.4¢	Won
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	No	$95	68.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?	No	$199	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	$10	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?	No	$63	35.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?	No	$200	26.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?	Yes	$600	69.9¢	Lost
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	$203	36.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 8?	No	$187	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 14?	No	$139	78.9¢	Won
Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	$3	10.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 24?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 15?	Yes	$22	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	$2	5.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?	Yes	$320	60.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?	No	$676	78.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?	Yes	$11	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?	Yes	$50	17.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?	No	$180	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	$6	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 17?	No	$183	85.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	No	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 8?	Yes	$280	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	$9	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?	Yes	$3	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 28?	Yes	$200	69.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	$41	2.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?	No	$10	9.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?	Yes	$50	36.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 10?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?	Yes	$0	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?	No	$10	10.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?	Yes	$121	25.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?	No	$196	78.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?	Yes	$230	65.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?	No	$557	80.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?	Yes	$300	51.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 8?	Yes	$3	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 11?	No	$400	77.4¢	Won
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	$233	26.3¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13?Lost
Yes$17 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 17?Won
Yes$100 @ 75.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?Won
No$22 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?Lost
Yes$20 @ 84.2¢
0x07d7eaa9…Won
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?Lost
No$700 @ 89.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?Won
Yes$10 @ 7.4¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Won
No$95 @ 68.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?Won
No$199 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?Won
No$63 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?Won
No$200 @ 26.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$600 @ 69.9¢
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?Won
Yes$203 @ 36.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 8?Won
No$187 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 14?Won
No$139 @ 78.9¢
Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 15?Won
Yes$22 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?Won
Yes$320 @ 60.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?Won
No$676 @ 78.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?Lost
Yes$11 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?Lost
Yes$50 @ 17.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?Lost
No$180 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 17?Won
No$183 @ 85.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?Lost
No$3 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 8?Won
Yes$280 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 16?Lost
Yes$9 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 28?Lost
Yes$200 @ 69.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?Lost
Yes$41 @ 2.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?Lost
No$10 @ 9.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?Won
Yes$50 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 10?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Won
No$10 @ 10.0¢
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Lost
Yes$121 @ 25.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?Won
No$196 @ 78.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?Lost
Yes$230 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?Lost
No$557 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?Won
Yes$300 @ 51.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 8?Won
Yes$3 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 11?Won
No$400 @ 77.4¢
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Lost
No$233 @ 26.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Science	No	$28	28.2¢
Will no hurricane form by November 30, 2026?	Science	No	$7	52.0¢

Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Science
No$28 @ 28.2¢
Will no hurricane form by November 30, 2026?Science
No$7 @ 52.0¢