← Smart money
0x1f2c…15a9
SharpEdge
+6.9pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
26% @ 19.2¢
Brier
0.173
Resolved
559
Avg size
$4
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 21% (11/53) | +35% | 53 |
| Geopolitics | 12% (4/34) | -14% | 34 |
| Sports | 26% (6/23) | +34% | 23 |
| Politics | 12% (2/17) | +65% | 17 |
- Other53 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (11/53)
- ROI
- +35%
- Geopolitics34 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (4/34)
- ROI
- -14%
- Sports23 bets
- Hit rate
- 26% (6/23)
- ROI
- +34%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (2/17)
- ROI
- +65%
Track record
18% hit · 23/127- No$3 @ 14.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
- No$1 @ 26.0¢
- No$2 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$16 @ 57.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 21.1¢
- Yes$18 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.5¢
- Nationals$2 @ 49.5¢
- Red Sox$1 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 15.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$12 @ 61.4¢
- Yes$181 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$165 @ 29.2¢
- Yes$66 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.6¢
- No$2 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 12.3¢
- No$30 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 26.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
- No$6 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 27.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 12.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$24 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.5¢
- No$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$12 @ 55.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 27.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $22 | 28.9¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Geopolitics | No | $7 | 27.2¢ |
- Yes$22 @ 28.9¢
- No$7 @ 27.2¢