← Smart money
0x1ec4…defa
SharpEdge
+13.8pp
ROI
+135%
Win rate
28% @ 14.2¢
Brier
0.213
Resolved
5048
Avg size
$14
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (195/511) | -0% | 511 |
| Sports | 8% (4/52) | +341% | 52 |
| Crypto | 33% (1/3) | +50% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +15% | 1 |
- Other511 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (195/511)
- ROI
- -0%
- Sports52 bets
- Hit rate
- 8% (4/52)
- ROI
- +341%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +50%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
35% hit · 201/567- Seattle Mariners$40 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 34.0¢
- Kings$112 @ 58.9¢
- Yes$40 @ 34.0¢
- Wizards$147 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.3¢
- Pistons$74 @ 53.0¢
- Kentucky Wildcats$70 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 35.9¢
- Michigan Wolverines$306 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 3.1¢
- Heat$72 @ 47.9¢
- Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs$49 @ 49.0¢
- Clippers$80 @ 35.0¢
- Jazz$46 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$156 @ 4.2¢
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros$23 @ 15.0¢
- Senegal$12 @ 3.7¢
- Over$50 @ 48.0¢
- Hawks vs. NetsLostNets$30 @ 8.0¢
- Under$87 @ 51.0¢
- Saint Peters Peacocks$36 @ 36.0¢
- Chicago White Sox$42 @ 35.0¢
- Knicks$102 @ 51.0¢
- Baylor Bears$51 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
- Patriots$183 @ 38.0¢
- Under$115 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 8.5¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$56 @ 46.0¢
- Bucks$75 @ 50.0¢
- Austin Peay Governors$26 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 23.0¢
- Thunder$500 @ 77.0¢
- Oklahoma Sooners$96 @ 48.0¢
- Pelicans$55 @ 24.0¢
- Pacers$95 @ 38.0¢
- Pacers vs. BucksLostPacers$68 @ 27.0¢
- Panthers$41 @ 41.0¢
- Bucks vs. HawksLostBucks$68 @ 21.7¢
- Oregon State Beavers$54 @ 27.0¢
- Cleveland Guardians$31 @ 43.0¢
- Over$120 @ 50.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 75.1¢
- Pistons$125 @ 52.0¢
- Spurs$23 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 5.0¢
- Hawks$131 @ 37.4¢
- Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.5k @ 2.1¢
- Yes$986 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$873 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$762 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$595 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$581 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$568 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$480 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$478 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$443 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$411 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$325 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$325 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$221 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$210 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$207 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$204 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$200 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$191 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$147 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$145 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$138 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$131 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$89 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$71 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$65 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$56 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$45 @ 10.0¢