← Smart money
0x1ec4…defa
ProfitableEdge
+15.5pp
ROI
+96%
Win rate
30% @ 14.8¢
Brier
0.242
Resolved
3576
Avg size
$18
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 37% (236/637) | -9% | 637 |
| Sports | 30% (47/156) | +235% | 156 |
| Crypto | 33% (1/3) | +50% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +15% | 1 |
- Other637 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (236/637)
- ROI
- -9%
- Sports156 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (47/156)
- ROI
- +235%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +50%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
36% hit · 285/797- Seattle Mariners$40 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
- Arizona Diamondbacks$66 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 34.0¢
- Kings$112 @ 58.9¢
- Wizards$147 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.3¢
- Pistons$74 @ 53.0¢
- Falcons$20 @ 32.0¢
- Kentucky Wildcats$70 @ 34.0¢
- Under$75 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 35.9¢
- Under$30 @ 48.0¢
- Michigan Wolverines$306 @ 51.0¢
- Commanders$85 @ 42.0¢
- Heat$72 @ 47.9¢
- New York Yankees$41 @ 41.0¢
- Athletics$44 @ 39.0¢
- Jazz$46 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$156 @ 4.2¢
- Senegal$12 @ 3.7¢
- Over$21 @ 53.0¢
- Hawks vs. NetsLostNets$30 @ 8.0¢
- Colts$135 @ 54.0¢
- Chicago White Sox$42 @ 35.0¢
- Knicks$102 @ 51.0¢
- Baylor Bears$51 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 9.0¢
- Patriots$183 @ 38.0¢
- Baltimore Orioles$62 @ 44.0¢
- Over$25 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 8.5¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$56 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 23.0¢
- Thunder$500 @ 77.0¢
- Oklahoma Sooners$96 @ 48.0¢
- Pistons$63 @ 51.0¢
- Pelicans$55 @ 24.0¢
- Pacers vs. BucksLostPacers$68 @ 27.0¢
- Panthers$41 @ 41.0¢
- Bucks vs. HawksLostBucks$68 @ 21.7¢
- Cleveland Guardians$31 @ 43.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$61 @ 61.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 75.1¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$38 @ 38.0¢
- Pistons$68 @ 45.0¢
- Over$7 @ 49.0¢
- Spurs$23 @ 23.0¢
- Wizards$88 @ 42.9¢
- Natalia Silva$132 @ 65.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.4k @ 3.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 3.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 2.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 0.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.1¢
- Yes$958 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$919 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$831 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$769 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$731 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$632 @ 59.9¢
- Yes$543 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$521 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$503 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$442 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$425 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$333 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$305 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$262 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$241 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$239 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$207 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$188 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$185 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$172 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$151 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$144 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$143 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$140 @ 35.0¢