0x1e8e…0cc4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1e8efeed2bbfe3c93643b0d960f8a5466f410cc4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.8pp

ROI

+44%

Win rate

19% @ 15.5¢

Brier

0.121

Resolved

2246

Avg size

$20

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	19% (227/1171)	+49%	1171
Sports	6% (6/108)	-73%	108
Politics	7% (1/14)	-89%	14
Crypto	45% (5/11)	+88%	11
Tech	50% (4/8)	+18%	8
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+100%	1

Other1171 bets
Hit rate
19% (227/1171)
ROI
+49%
Sports108 bets
Hit rate
6% (6/108)
ROI
-73%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
7% (1/14)
ROI
-89%
Crypto11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
+88%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+100%

Track record

19% hit · 244/1314

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-04-24?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will "The Drama" score at least 72 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$40	2.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14?	Yes	$1	4.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 15?	Yes	$7	24.2¢	Lost
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 6-7b one week after launch?	Yes	$28	12.9¢	Lost
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	10.5¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$36	2.2¢	Lost
Spread: Australia (-2.5)	Australia	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Ethena token (FDV) more than 15 billion a day after launch?	Yes	$166	6.2¢	Lost
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	No	$18	54.0¢	Won
Will Kamala say "plagiarize" or "plagiarizing" during Fox News interview?	Yes	$14	20.0¢	Lost
Spread: Australia (-1.5)	Australia	$17	8.5¢	Lost
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	$3	5.3¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" on Call Her Daddy?	Yes	$24	24.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	$11	7.0¢	Lost
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5	Over	$5	4.6¢	Lost
Spread: Jordan (-1.5)	Jordan	$19	3.0¢	Lost
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?	No	$81	14.7¢	Lost
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	$9	11.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?	Yes	$25	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?	No	$4	30.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?	Yes	$88	14.0¢	Won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)	Australia	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5	Under	$7	18.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?	Yes	$9	2.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 14?	Yes	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-14?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Spain	$19	34.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Under	$10	6.0¢	Lost
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$17	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?	No	$2	20.0¢	Won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)	Japan	$8	2.9¢	Lost
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	$7	21.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?	Yes	$61	27.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will West Ham beat Manchester City?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Tampon" on Call Her Daddy?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	$2	6.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?	No	$1	12.0¢	Won
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$8	9.0¢	Lost
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?	Yes	$3	5.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on April 15?	Yes	$2	12.2¢	Won
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?	Yes	$11	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 6?	No	$4	83.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$12	28.9¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-04-24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will "The Drama" score at least 72 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Won
Yes$40 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14?Won
Yes$1 @ 4.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 24.2¢
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 6-7b one week after launch?Lost
Yes$28 @ 12.9¢
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 10.5¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$36 @ 2.2¢
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Lost
Australia$5 @ 1.6¢
Ethena token (FDV) more than 15 billion a day after launch?Lost
Yes$166 @ 6.2¢
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$18 @ 54.0¢
Will Kamala say "plagiarize" or "plagiarizing" during Fox News interview? Lost
Yes$14 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Lost
Australia$17 @ 8.5¢
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" on Call Her Daddy?Lost
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?Lost
Yes$11 @ 7.0¢
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$5 @ 4.6¢
Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Lost
Jordan$19 @ 3.0¢
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Lost
No$81 @ 14.7¢
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Lost
No$9 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Lost
Yes$25 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?Lost
No$4 @ 30.7¢
Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?Won
Yes$88 @ 14.0¢
Spread: Australia (-3.5)Lost
Australia$2 @ 0.3¢
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5Won
Under$7 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?Lost
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Lost
Spain$19 @ 34.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$10 @ 6.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?Won
No$2 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Lost
Japan$8 @ 2.9¢
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)Won
SC Freiburg$7 @ 21.7¢
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?Lost
Yes$61 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will West Ham beat Manchester City?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Tampon" on Call Her Daddy?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.6¢
Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?Won
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC$8 @ 9.0¢
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on April 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 12.2¢
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?Lost
Yes$11 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 6?Won
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Won
Over$12 @ 28.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Crypto	No	$511	93.1¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$327	94.6¢
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$235	89.6¢
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$178	74.6¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$97	96.3¢
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$95	89.5¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	Crypto	No	$90	30.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$79	77.0¢
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$66	94.0¢
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$60	24.4¢
Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$38	95.0¢
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Tech	No	$36	90.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$36	89.0¢
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$31	84.5¢
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$28	14.0¢
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	Tech	No	$26	82.1¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$18	70.7¢
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$14	96.3¢
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$13	25.3¢
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$12	96.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$8	4.1¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$8	5.2¢
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$6	0.8¢
Fuse FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$6	95.3¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	Crypto	No	$5	32.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	5.1¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$4	0.7¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	No	$3	14.0¢
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$2	17.8¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2	19.0¢

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Crypto
No$511 @ 93.1¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$327 @ 94.6¢
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$235 @ 89.6¢
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$178 @ 74.6¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$97 @ 96.3¢
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$95 @ 89.5¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Crypto
No$90 @ 30.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$79 @ 77.0¢
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$66 @ 94.0¢
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$60 @ 24.4¢
Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$38 @ 95.0¢
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Tech
No$36 @ 90.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Tech
Yes$36 @ 89.0¢
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$31 @ 84.5¢
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$28 @ 14.0¢
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Tech
No$26 @ 82.1¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$18 @ 70.7¢
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
No$14 @ 96.3¢
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$13 @ 25.3¢
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$12 @ 96.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
No$8 @ 4.1¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$8 @ 5.2¢
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$6 @ 0.8¢
Fuse FDV above $10B one day after launch?Crypto
No$6 @ 95.3¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Crypto
No$5 @ 32.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 5.1¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto
No$3 @ 14.0¢
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
No$2 @ 17.8¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢