0x1e55…e3e2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1e55408f217f58facdf1d663c74cfa7f55e9e3e2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.1pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

58% @ 49.9¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

1825

Avg size

$236

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (136/257)	+38%	257
Politics	57% (29/51)	+21%	51
Sports	36% (9/25)	-89%	25
Geopolitics	29% (4/14)	-22%	14
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+30%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+109%	1

Other257 bets
Hit rate
53% (136/257)
ROI
+38%
Politics51 bets
Hit rate
57% (29/51)
ROI
+21%
Sports25 bets
Hit rate
36% (9/25)
ROI
-89%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
-22%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+109%

Track record

51% hit · 180/352

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
IR Iran leading at halftime?	Yes	$38	37.0¢	Lost
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$2.7k	56.6¢	Won
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	$2.5k	70.4¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$390	19.5¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	No	$371	23.7¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$101	59.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?	No	$823	68.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	$205	51.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Lost
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$321	73.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$3.6k	81.0¢	Won
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Sean Sharaf	$140	7.0¢	Won
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$2.4k	55.4¢	Lost
Colts vs. Titans	Titans	$107	3.8¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?	Yes	$37	56.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?	Yes	$779	74.7¢	Lost
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$355	3.5¢	Lost
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$258	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	49.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$495	14.0¢	Lost
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	$2.1k	70.7¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$256	53.5¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$67	65.9¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$2.5k	82.7¢	Won
No release by March 1	Yes	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	$504	17.2¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$29	16.0¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	No	$891	89.1¢	Won
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	$29	28.0¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	$27	26.0¢	Lost
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	$50	58.0¢	Won
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?	Yes	$484	89.0¢	Won
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$327	29.7¢	Lost
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$48	47.0¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$116	45.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	$1.4k	68.3¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$44	61.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$113	1.5¢	Lost
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	No	$4	82.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$641	59.6¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$239	47.8¢	Won
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	$85	8.5¢	Lost
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$200	50.0¢	Won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	$130	21.7¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$856	81.4¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$17.2k	18.6¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	$50	5.0¢	Lost
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$23.4k	78.1¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$871	87.1¢	Won

IR Iran leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$38 @ 37.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$2.7k @ 56.6¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Lost
No$2.5k @ 70.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$390 @ 19.5¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Won
No$371 @ 23.7¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$101 @ 59.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Won
No$823 @ 68.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Ramazan Temirov$205 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$321 @ 73.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$3.6k @ 81.0¢
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Sean Sharaf$140 @ 7.0¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 55.4¢
Colts vs. TitansLost
Titans$107 @ 3.8¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?Won
Yes$37 @ 56.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?Lost
Yes$779 @ 74.7¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$355 @ 3.5¢
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
No$258 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 49.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$495 @ 14.0¢
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 70.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$256 @ 53.5¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Won
Yes$67 @ 65.9¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$2.5k @ 82.7¢
No release by March 1Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
Seahawks vs. JaguarsLost
Jaguars$504 @ 17.2¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$29 @ 16.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Won
No$891 @ 89.1¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$29 @ 28.0¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Lost
Yes$27 @ 26.0¢
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Won
Yes$50 @ 58.0¢
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?Won
Yes$484 @ 89.0¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$327 @ 29.7¢
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?Won
Yes$48 @ 47.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$116 @ 45.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Won
No$1.4k @ 68.3¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
Yes$44 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$113 @ 1.5¢
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Lost
No$4 @ 82.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$641 @ 59.6¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
No$239 @ 47.8¢
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$85 @ 8.5¢
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$200 @ 50.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Lost
No$130 @ 21.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$856 @ 81.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$17.2k @ 18.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Lost
No$50 @ 5.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$23.4k @ 78.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$871 @ 87.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Economy	No	$1.8k	94.1¢
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	89.5¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Economy	No	$1.0k	88.7¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$977	70.0¢
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Tech	No	$467	84.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Politics	No	$352	7.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$345	18.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$333	25.2¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Economy	No	$222	97.4¢
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?	Politics	No	$15	78.2¢

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Economy
No$1.8k @ 94.1¢
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 89.5¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Economy
No$1.0k @ 88.7¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$977 @ 70.0¢
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech
No$467 @ 84.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
No$352 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
No$345 @ 18.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$333 @ 25.2¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Economy
No$222 @ 97.4¢
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?Politics
No$15 @ 78.2¢