0x1e52…91d6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1e524ff2123d380a690dbdf2245de2a9428e91d6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.2pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

41% @ 35.2¢

Brier

0.208

Resolved

1332

Avg size

$20

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (44/104)	+23%	104
Science	33% (13/40)	-14%	40
Sports	44% (11/25)	-5%	25
Politics	32% (8/25)	+44%	25
Culture	50% (2/4)	+20%	4
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other104 bets
Hit rate
42% (44/104)
ROI
+23%
Science40 bets
Hit rate
33% (13/40)
ROI
-14%
Sports25 bets
Hit rate
44% (11/25)
ROI
-5%
Politics25 bets
Hit rate
32% (8/25)
ROI
+44%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+20%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 78/201

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	$80	28.2¢	Won
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	$80	38.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	No	$31	62.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	$4	34.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 26?	No	$37	54.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	No	$72	74.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 26?	No	$8	16.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 26?	Yes	$6	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	$6	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 26?	No	$34	48.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 25?	No	$130	93.2¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 23?	Yes	$37	41.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 25?	No	$89	61.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 25?	Yes	$6	19.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	No	$143	46.0¢	Lost
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	$1.5k	70.7¢	Lost
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$118	21.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?	No	$18	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	$40	28.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	No	$63	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	$96	41.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UPGRADE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	UPGRADE	$71	47.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	No	$95	51.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	$27	52.3¢	Won
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	$75	83.0¢	Won
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	$8	8.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	Yes	$22	13.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	$37	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?	No	$9	2.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?	Yes	$0	9.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	$37	20.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 19?	Yes	$8	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 2?	Yes	$10	42.6¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$550	48.1¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$133	7.5¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$2.9k	55.9¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$1.2k	28.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 30?	No	$144	51.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 30?	Yes	$21	23.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 21?	No	$38	24.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 10?	No	$133	74.1¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A	Team Synapse	$79	50.0¢	Won
Sporting CP vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5	Over	$37	46.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20?	Yes	$14	15.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	$98	5.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$321	83.6¢	Won
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23?	No	$80	46.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 24?	No	$24	86.0¢	Won

O/U 1.5 RoundsWon
Under$80 @ 28.2¢
O/U 2.5 RoundsWon
Under$80 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?Lost
No$31 @ 62.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?Won
Yes$4 @ 34.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 26?Won
No$37 @ 54.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?Lost
No$72 @ 74.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 26?Lost
No$8 @ 16.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$6 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$6 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 26?Won
No$34 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 25?Won
No$130 @ 93.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$37 @ 41.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 25?Won
No$89 @ 61.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 25?Lost
Yes$6 @ 19.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?Lost
No$143 @ 46.0¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
No$1.5k @ 70.7¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$118 @ 21.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?Won
No$18 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?Lost
Yes$40 @ 28.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Lost
No$63 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Won
Yes$96 @ 41.0¢
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UPGRADE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWon
UPGRADE$71 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Lost
No$95 @ 51.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Won
Yes$27 @ 52.3¢
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Won
No$75 @ 83.0¢
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?Lost
Yes$22 @ 13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?Won
No$37 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?Won
No$9 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$37 @ 20.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 19?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 2?Lost
Yes$10 @ 42.6¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Lost
No$550 @ 48.1¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Won
Yes$133 @ 7.5¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
No$2.9k @ 55.9¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 30?Won
No$144 @ 51.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 30?Lost
Yes$21 @ 23.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 21?Lost
No$38 @ 24.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 10?Lost
No$133 @ 74.1¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group AWon
Team Synapse$79 @ 50.0¢
Sporting CP vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Won
Over$37 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$14 @ 15.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Lost
No$98 @ 5.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$321 @ 83.6¢
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23?Lost
No$80 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 24?Won
No$24 @ 86.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$253	73.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	No	$216	84.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Culture	No	$195	86.7¢
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Politics	No	$193	33.4¢
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Culture	No	$189	30.7¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	Culture	No	$188	31.5¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?	Tech	No	$179	16.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Politics	No	$176	18.4¢
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Politics	Yes	$151	27.5¢
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Tech	No	$112	64.9¢
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$107	35.6¢
Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$106	40.8¢
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	Politics	No	$102	29.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	No	$96	91.3¢
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Sports	No	$90	57.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Culture	No	$86	46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 26?	Science	No	$82	91.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Politics	No	$76	21.5¢
Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Politics	No	$75	77.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$75	25.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Economy	No	$73	25.8¢
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$72	16.3¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$71	28.0¢
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$69	28.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	Tech	Yes	$65	21.9¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$64	19.4¢
Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$63	21.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	Culture	Yes	$62	34.6¢
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$54	26.4¢
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$51	17.0¢

Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$253 @ 73.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
No$216 @ 84.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?Culture
No$195 @ 86.7¢
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics
No$193 @ 33.4¢
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture
No$189 @ 30.7¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Culture
No$188 @ 31.5¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Tech
No$179 @ 16.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
No$176 @ 18.4¢
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics
Yes$151 @ 27.5¢
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Tech
No$112 @ 64.9¢
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$107 @ 35.6¢
Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Politics
Yes$106 @ 40.8¢
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics
No$102 @ 29.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
No$96 @ 91.3¢
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Sports
No$90 @ 57.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Culture
No$86 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 26?Science
No$82 @ 91.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
No$76 @ 21.5¢
Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Politics
No$75 @ 77.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$75 @ 25.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?Economy
No$73 @ 25.8¢
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$72 @ 16.3¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$71 @ 28.0¢
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$69 @ 28.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Tech
Yes$65 @ 21.9¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$64 @ 19.4¢
Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$63 @ 21.0¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Culture
Yes$62 @ 34.6¢
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$54 @ 26.4¢
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$51 @ 17.0¢