← Smart money
0x1e38…fd47
ProfitableEdge
+12.3pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
95% @ 83.0¢
Brier
0.056
Resolved
321
Avg size
$1.5k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 87% (34/39) | +1% | 39 |
| Other | 74% (14/19) | -10% | 19 |
- Sports39 bets
- Hit rate
- 87% (34/39)
- ROI
- +1%
- Other19 bets
- Hit rate
- 74% (14/19)
- ROI
- -10%
Track record
83% hit · 48/58- No$53.3k @ 82.0¢
- No$32.4k @ 83.0¢
- No$47.6k @ 88.3¢
- Tommy Paul$5.0k @ 70.0¢
- Roman Safiullin$21.3k @ 80.7¢
- No$56.1k @ 96.7¢
- Xinyu Wang$7.1k @ 77.2¢
- Linda Noskova$10.4k @ 68.7¢
- No$6.4k @ 63.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$10.1k @ 66.0¢
- Washington Nationals$10.2k @ 66.0¢
- Novak Djokovic$10.1k @ 83.0¢
- No$10.2k @ 81.0¢
- Team Falcons$6.6k @ 67.8¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$7.5k @ 61.0¢
- Arthur Gea$9.9k @ 76.0¢
- Poland$372 @ 82.0¢
- Daniil Medvedev$1.0k @ 57.0¢
- No$8.6k @ 89.0¢
- Alexandra Eala$10.8k @ 82.9¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 89.0¢
- Iga Swiatek$11.4k @ 66.0¢
- Golden State Valkyries$10.2k @ 84.0¢
- Team Falcons$10.2k @ 65.0¢
- Maria Sakkari$10.2k @ 85.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$10.3k @ 65.0¢
- Dallas Wings$10.1k @ 80.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$9.7k @ 86.0¢
- France$10.4k @ 87.0¢
- Miami Marlins$10.1k @ 79.0¢
- Top Esports$2.0k @ 85.0¢
- Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida$6.8k @ 87.4¢
- No$10.0k @ 85.0¢
- Denis Shapovalov$15.0k @ 78.5¢
- Daniil Medvedev$9.9k @ 67.0¢
- No$26.2k @ 71.6¢
- Yes$7.1k @ 77.0¢
- Alina Korneeva$2.0k @ 81.1¢
- Coco Gauff$17.0k @ 79.0¢
- Alina Korneeva$10.0k @ 87.0¢
- Slovenia$3.7k @ 75.0¢
- Xinyu Wang$10.0k @ 70.0¢
- Carlos Alcaraz$21.2k @ 86.0¢
- 1win$1.0k @ 81.0¢
- Houston Astros$13.4k @ 89.0¢
- Weibo Gaming$1.0k @ 64.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$312 @ 53.0¢
- Slovenia$5.9k @ 82.7¢
- Frances Tiafoe$17.7k @ 83.0¢
- Novak Djokovic$13.5k @ 61.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | Sports | No | $53.3k | 82.0¢ |
- No$53.3k @ 82.0¢