← Smart money
0x1dfd…c1e1
SharpEdge
+16.9pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
97% @ 80.4¢
Brier
0.050
Resolved
115
Avg size
$198
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 86% (12/14) | +24% | 14 |
| Other | 89% (8/9) | +24% | 9 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +15% | 1 |
- Sports14 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (12/14)
- ROI
- +24%
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 89% (8/9)
- ROI
- +24%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
88% hit · 21/24- Yes$89 @ 88.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 84.3¢
- Yes$640 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
- No$84 @ 84.0¢
- No$17 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$483 @ 87.9¢
- Yes$243 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$890 @ 89.0¢
- Wolves$10 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 79.5¢
- Yes$438 @ 43.8¢
- Yes$850 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$8.7k @ 87.2¢
- Yes$640 @ 64.0¢
- Haiti$83 @ 83.0¢
- Egypt$89 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$888 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 87.9¢
- No$860 @ 86.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $12.9k | 95.2¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $4.2k | 50.0¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | No | $4.2k | 50.0¢ |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | No | $1.4k | 94.3¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Politics | No | $1.4k | 93.0¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $961 | 96.1¢ |
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$12.9k @ 95.2¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 50.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 50.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 94.3¢
- No$1.4k @ 93.0¢
- No$961 @ 96.1¢