← Smart money
0x1da2…9030
SharpEdge
+11.7pp
ROI
+45%
Win rate
59% @ 47.7¢
Brier
0.203
Resolved
229
Avg size
$3
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 36% (17/47) | +15% | 47 |
| Other | 47% (22/47) | +7% | 47 |
| Politics | 57% (8/14) | +119% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 43% (3/7) | +219% | 7 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +6% | 6 |
- Sports47 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (17/47)
- ROI
- +15%
- Other47 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (22/47)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (8/14)
- ROI
- +119%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +219%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +6%
Track record
44% hit · 53/121- Yes$8 @ 37.0¢
- Alexander Bublik$2 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 59.0¢
- No$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 88.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$10 @ 35.0¢
- Kansas City Royals$1 @ 53.0¢
- Anna Kubareva$11 @ 89.1¢
- New York Yankees$1 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 85.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$1 @ 56.0¢
- Over 3.5$1 @ 69.0¢
- San Diego Padres$2 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 15.7¢
- Athletics$1 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
- No$2 @ 20.4¢
- Filippo Romano$25 @ 51.0¢
- No$2 @ 9.0¢
- No$14 @ 80.5¢
- Dolphins$7 @ 40.0¢
- No$2 @ 15.0¢
- Over$3 @ 50.0¢
- Anhelina Kalinina$2 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 47.6¢
- Ghana$3 @ 52.0¢
- No$20 @ 88.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$2 @ 51.0¢
- No$23 @ 55.0¢
- Cameron Nelson$10 @ 44.0¢
- No$4 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 62.0¢
- No$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.4¢
- No$4 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$4 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Hurricanes$2 @ 51.0¢
- No$8 @ 30.0¢
- No$19 @ 87.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
- Austria$3 @ 68.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 11.3¢ |
| Will Michael Johnstone win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 11.0¢ |
| Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 | Sports | Under | $11 | 45.0¢ |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | Politics | No | $10 | 20.1¢ |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 93.3¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $10 | 79.0¢ |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? | Politics | No | $10 | 76.0¢ |
| Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 37.5¢ |
| Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | Sports | Yes | $8 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Sports | Yes | $7 | 22.6¢ |
| Spread: Turkmenistan (-3.5) | Sports | Turkmenistan | $6 | 48.0¢ |
| Spread: Turkmenistan (-5.5) | Sports | Turkmenistan | $6 | 49.0¢ |
| Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-27? | Sports | No | $5 | 55.0¢ |
- Yes$20 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 11.0¢
- Under$11 @ 45.0¢
- No$10 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 93.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 79.0¢
- No$10 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 22.6¢
- Turkmenistan$6 @ 48.0¢
- Turkmenistan$6 @ 49.0¢
- No$5 @ 55.0¢