0x1d9a…db3f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1d9a2c92bf630cc92b1b20a950008e84aa56db3f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.7pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

56% @ 48.7¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

682

Avg size

$222

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (75/148)	+14%	148
Politics	40% (2/5)	-69%	5
Sports	50% (1/2)	+100%	2

Other148 bets
Hit rate
51% (75/148)
ROI
+14%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-69%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+100%

Track record

50% hit · 78/155

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	$89	89.0¢	Won
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	$3.9k	76.3¢	Won
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	$723	76.5¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$143	23.8¢	Lost
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guo	Guo	$616	77.0¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$1.1k	50.2¢	Lost
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?	Yes	$7	13.0¢	Lost
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	No	$189	82.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	Yes	$183	18.9¢	Lost
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	No	$17	84.1¢	Lost
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?	Yes	$72	76.9¢	Lost
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs	Blackhawks	$37	37.0¢	Lost
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	$65	65.0¢	Won
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	No	$51	81.0¢	Won
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Holy Cross Crusaders	Dartmouth Big Green	$56	56.8¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$210	42.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	29.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$345	49.1¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)	KT Rolster	$3.4k	74.3¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	46.3¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	$2	15.6¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	Anyones Legend	$250	64.1¢	Won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	Anyones Legend	$1.5k	53.0¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	T1	$1.4k	51.6¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	T1	$5.5k	74.1¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	$454	35.9¢	Lost
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkova	Blinkova	$106	90.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?	No	$1.7k	85.0¢	Lost
Will Brian Armstrong say "Cobie" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?	No	$15	82.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?	Yes	$50	8.0¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$35	87.0¢	Lost
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Zakharova	$730	73.0¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	56.5¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$116	34.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?	Yes	$77	87.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	$263	82.1¢	Won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	Yes	$100	7.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Country music" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?	No	$4	38.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$20	89.0¢	Won
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$9.3k	69.4¢	Won
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?	No	$22	89.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Blues	Blues	$4	43.0¢	Won
Hurricanes vs. Predators	Hurricanes	$13	63.0¢	Won
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?	Yes	$578	5.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$43	85.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Inflation" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?	No	$25	63.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	No	$43	86.0¢	Won
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	$532	43.6¢	Lost

Nuggets vs. PelicansWon
Nuggets$89 @ 89.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerWon
KT Rolster$3.9k @ 76.3¢
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Won
Yes$723 @ 76.5¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Lost
Yes$143 @ 23.8¢
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu GuoLost
Guo$616 @ 77.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 50.2¢
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Won
No$189 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Lost
Yes$183 @ 18.9¢
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Lost
No$17 @ 84.1¢
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Lost
Yes$72 @ 76.9¢
Blackhawks vs. Maple LeafsLost
Blackhawks$37 @ 37.0¢
Blackhawks vs. Maple LeafsWon
Maple Leafs$65 @ 65.0¢
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Won
No$51 @ 81.0¢
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Holy Cross CrusadersWon
Dartmouth Big Green$56 @ 56.8¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$210 @ 42.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.5k @ 29.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$345 @ 49.1¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Won
KT Rolster$3.4k @ 74.3¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.6k @ 46.3¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.6¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerWon
Anyones Legend$250 @ 64.1¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Lost
Anyones Legend$1.5k @ 53.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Won
T1$1.4k @ 51.6¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
T1$5.5k @ 74.1¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerLost
Top Esports$454 @ 35.9¢
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna BlinkovaWon
Blinkova$106 @ 90.0¢
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Lost
No$1.7k @ 85.0¢
Will Brian Armstrong say "Cobie" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?Won
No$15 @ 82.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$50 @ 8.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 87.0¢
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia ZakharovaLost
Zakharova$730 @ 73.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 56.5¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Won
Yes$116 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
Yes$77 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Won
No$263 @ 82.1¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Lost
Yes$100 @ 7.2¢
Will Trump say "Country music" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Lost
No$4 @ 38.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Won
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$9.3k @ 69.4¢
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?Won
No$22 @ 89.0¢
Jets vs. BluesWon
Blues$4 @ 43.0¢
Hurricanes vs. PredatorsWon
Hurricanes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Lost
Yes$578 @ 5.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Won
Yes$43 @ 85.5¢
Will Trump say "Inflation" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Won
No$25 @ 63.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Won
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Lost
Yes$532 @ 43.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
0xf2e631ea…	—	Yes	$22.9k	36.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?	—	Yes	$5.5k	64.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)	—	Hanwha Life Esports	$3.4k	11.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12PM ET	—	Up	$2.8k	48.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET	—	Up	$2.1k	66.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10AM ET	—	Up	$2.0k	46.8¢
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?	—	Yes	$1.5k	91.2¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$1.5k	90.9¢
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mboko	—	Eala	$1.3k	51.4¢
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	—	Yes	$1.2k	42.2¢
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	—	PlayTime	$1000	75.5¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?	—	No	$793	90.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1PM ET	—	Up	$742	47.4¢
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	—	Zakharova	$730	73.0¢
Ravens vs. Steelers	—	Ravens	$690	69.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	—	Top Esports	$630	63.0¢
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guo	—	Guo	$616	77.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7PM ET	—	Down	$584	33.7¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	—	Yes	$580	84.0¢
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Politics	Yes	$532	43.6¢
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?	—	No	$473	72.2¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	—	Yes	$461	34.9¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$374	59.5¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$367	52.4¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	—	Top Esports	$346	35.9¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	—	Yes	$298	21.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9AM ET	—	Up	$279	28.6¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	—	No	$248	62.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$247	5.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ET	—	Up	$231	47.2¢

0xf2e631ea…—
Yes$22.9k @ 36.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?—
Yes$5.5k @ 64.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)—
Hanwha Life Esports$3.4k @ 11.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12PM ET—
Up$2.8k @ 48.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET—
Up$2.1k @ 66.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10AM ET—
Up$2.0k @ 46.8¢
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?—
Yes$1.5k @ 91.2¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?—
Yes$1.5k @ 90.9¢
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mboko—
Eala$1.3k @ 51.4¢
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?—
Yes$1.2k @ 42.2¢
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B—
PlayTime$1000 @ 75.5¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?—
No$793 @ 90.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1PM ET—
Up$742 @ 47.4¢
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharova—
Zakharova$730 @ 73.0¢
Ravens vs. Steelers—
Ravens$690 @ 69.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner—
Top Esports$630 @ 63.0¢
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guo—
Guo$616 @ 77.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7PM ET—
Down$584 @ 33.7¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?—
Yes$580 @ 84.0¢
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics
Yes$532 @ 43.6¢
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?—
No$473 @ 72.2¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?—
Yes$461 @ 34.9¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?—
Yes$374 @ 59.5¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Politics
Yes$367 @ 52.4¢
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner—
Top Esports$346 @ 35.9¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?—
Yes$298 @ 21.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9AM ET—
Up$279 @ 28.6¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?—
No$248 @ 62.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics
Yes$247 @ 5.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ET—
Up$231 @ 47.2¢