0x1d7f…a878

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1d7fde668dd56ace7c3c2219e88f5bd4c663a878
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.0pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

37% @ 30.3¢

Brier

0.268

Resolved

1108

Avg size

$257

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	31% (76/242)	+2%	242
Sports	45% (13/29)	+44%	29
Politics	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other242 bets
Hit rate
31% (76/242)
ROI
+2%
Sports29 bets
Hit rate
45% (13/29)
ROI
+44%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 89/279

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov	Mitchell	$570	57.0¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$417	2.2¢	Lost
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Yes	$960	24.0¢	Lost
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	$505	43.2¢	Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$265	26.5¢	Lost
Will Obama say "Black" at DNC speech?	No	$95	19.0¢	Lost
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	$4.9k	40.8¢	Lost
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?	No	$370	79.0¢	Won
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?	Yes	$68	17.0¢	Lost
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?	Yes	$1.1k	28.6¢	Lost
Iran military response by Tuesday?	Yes	$90	30.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$813	39.0¢	Lost
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	$67	6.7¢	Lost
Iran strike on Qatar today?	No	$523	43.2¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$1.1k	36.1¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$3.6k	50.3¢	Lost
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?	Yes	$1.4k	15.1¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	No	$204	53.0¢	Lost
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen	Vettori	$380	38.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan	Rębecki	$733	58.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Thunder	Pacers	$460	23.0¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	$241	6.1¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Josiah Harrell	$324	27.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$7.8k	51.0¢	Won
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	$4.6k	46.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$361	17.7¢	Lost
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$180	8.2¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?	No	$8	33.0¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$463	19.4¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	29.7¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)	Leal	$285	57.0¢	Won
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Tatiana Suarez	$2.6k	62.2¢	Won
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$204	21.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$2.3k	23.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?	No	$30	3.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Spivac	$2.4k	48.0¢	Won
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$150	15.0¢	Lost
Iran military response by Sunday?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Lost
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?	Yes	$65	25.5¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	No	$4.2k	46.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$577	17.6¢	Lost
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Lima	Lima	$843	60.1¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$208	20.8¢	Lost
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals	Yes	$270	5.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$696	8.7¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	$110	5.1¢	Lost
Palisades fire burns 15,000-20,000 acres by Friday?	Yes	$35	4.1¢	Lost
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?	No	$3.9k	37.2¢	Lost
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?	Yes	$1.1k	40.0¢	Won
All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?	Yes	$209	11.0¢	Lost

UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovWon
Mitchell$570 @ 57.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$417 @ 2.2¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$960 @ 24.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsLost
Over$505 @ 43.2¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$265 @ 26.5¢
Will Obama say "Black" at DNC speech?Lost
No$95 @ 19.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Lost
No$4.9k @ 40.8¢
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?Won
No$370 @ 79.0¢
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?Lost
Yes$68 @ 17.0¢
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 28.6¢
Iran military response by Tuesday?Lost
Yes$90 @ 30.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$813 @ 39.0¢
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Lost
Yes$67 @ 6.7¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Lost
No$523 @ 43.2¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$1.1k @ 36.1¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$3.6k @ 50.3¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 15.1¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$204 @ 53.0¢
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen Lost
Vettori $380 @ 38.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan Lost
Rębecki$733 @ 58.0¢
Pacers vs. ThunderLost
Pacers$460 @ 23.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Won
Yes$241 @ 6.1¢
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Josiah Harrell$324 @ 27.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$7.8k @ 51.0¢
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Lost
Nikita Krylov$4.6k @ 46.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$361 @ 17.7¢
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$180 @ 8.2¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?Lost
No$8 @ 33.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$463 @ 19.4¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 29.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)Won
Leal$285 @ 57.0¢
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)Won
Tatiana Suarez$2.6k @ 62.2¢
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$204 @ 21.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Lost
No$30 @ 3.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Spivac$2.4k @ 48.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Iran military response by Sunday?Lost
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?Lost
Yes$65 @ 25.5¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Lost
No$4.2k @ 46.4¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$577 @ 17.6¢
UFC 317: Talbott vs. LimaLost
Lima$843 @ 60.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$208 @ 20.8¢
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsLost
Yes$270 @ 5.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$696 @ 8.7¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Lost
Yes$110 @ 5.1¢
Palisades fire burns 15,000-20,000 acres by Friday?Lost
Yes$35 @ 4.1¢
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Lost
No$3.9k @ 37.2¢
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 40.0¢
All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?Lost
Yes$209 @ 11.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$8.0k	59.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	36.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sports	Brendan Allen	$766	52.1¢
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Sports	Ernesta Kareckaite	$500	49.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)	Sports	Andre Fili	$411	57.0¢
Will RJ Harris win by KO or TKO?	Sports	Yes	$250	42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$200	11.0¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Sports	Under	$196	50.0¢
Deel IPO before 2027?	Business	Yes	$90	45.0¢

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$8.0k @ 59.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 36.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)Sports
Brendan Allen$766 @ 52.1¢
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Sports
Ernesta Kareckaite$500 @ 49.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports
Andre Fili$411 @ 57.0¢
Will RJ Harris win by KO or TKO?Sports
Yes$250 @ 42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$200 @ 11.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsSports
Under$196 @ 50.0¢
Deel IPO before 2027?Business
Yes$90 @ 45.0¢