0x1d7a…b846

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1d7a8b97c80bb564a268448352b241e70220b846
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.5pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

52% @ 48.4¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

2232

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (119/276)	+6%	276
Science	31% (11/36)	+11%	36
Culture	53% (10/19)	-11%	19

Other276 bets
Hit rate
43% (119/276)
ROI
+6%
Science36 bets
Hit rate
31% (11/36)
ROI
+11%
Culture19 bets
Hit rate
53% (10/19)
ROI
-11%

Track record

42% hit · 140/331

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	$15	61.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	$4	25.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	Yes	$2	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2?	Yes	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	$1	5.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on October 4?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3?	Yes	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?	Yes	$18	17.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 12?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	$105	50.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$103	21.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?	Yes	$164	51.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	$39	24.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	$2	29.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	$22	50.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	No	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	Yes	$10	39.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 62 million or more views on day 5?	No	$2	75.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$26	85.3¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$8	16.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$66	47.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	$8	40.2¢	Won
between 39 and 41 million views	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	$25	62.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	No	$5	53.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 8 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	$55	31.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?	Yes	$53	22.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?	Yes	$5	16.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2?	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?	No	$6	15.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?	Yes	$202	81.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	$9	88.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?	Yes	$4	37.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	$3	32.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2?	Yes	$13	42.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$14	60.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	$1	9.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?	No	$25	57.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	$11	66.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	$4	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?	No	$11	85.0¢	Lost
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?	No	$31	65.6¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$62	67.9¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$15 @ 61.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 25.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?Won
Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?Won
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on October 4?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3?Lost
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$18 @ 17.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$105 @ 50.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$103 @ 21.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?Lost
Yes$164 @ 51.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Lost
Yes$39 @ 24.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 29.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$22 @ 50.1¢
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Lost
No$3 @ 50.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Won
Yes$10 @ 39.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 62 million or more views on day 5?Won
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Won
No$26 @ 85.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$66 @ 47.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?Won
Yes$8 @ 40.2¢
between 39 and 41 million viewsLost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$25 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?Lost
No$5 @ 53.0¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 8 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?Won
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?Won
Yes$55 @ 31.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?Lost
Yes$53 @ 22.1¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$5 @ 16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?Lost
No$6 @ 15.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?Won
Yes$202 @ 81.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?Lost
Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 37.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?Lost
Yes$3 @ 32.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2?Won
Yes$13 @ 42.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$14 @ 60.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?Won
No$25 @ 57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?Won
Yes$11 @ 66.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?Won
No$4 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?Lost
No$11 @ 85.0¢
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?Won
No$31 @ 65.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$62 @ 67.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	Culture	Yes	$33	81.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$19	1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$1	25.0¢

Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?Culture
Yes$33 @ 81.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?Science
Yes$19 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?Science
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢