0x1d75…78b9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1d75500d153e8a00f645a2d943bda54b53b578b9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+12.7pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

72% @ 59.6¢

Brier

0.198

Resolved

369

Avg size

$72

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (78/117)	+5%	117
Politics	40% (2/5)	-7%	5

Other117 bets
Hit rate
67% (78/117)
ROI
+5%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-7%

Track record

66% hit · 80/122

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$143	67.0¢	Won
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$200	86.0¢	Won
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$222	37.8¢	Won
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?	No	$70	35.0¢	Lost
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$149	39.0¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?	Yes	$132	66.0¢	Won
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$165	81.9¢	Won
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?	Yes	$72	72.0¢	Lost
Will 'GIRLS BAND CRY' win Crunchyroll's Best Original Anime Award for 2025?	Yes	$100	74.3¢	Lost
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$424	77.3¢	Won
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$112	85.7¢	Won
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$30	52.0¢	Won
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	$100	38.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?	No	$200	63.0¢	Won
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$151	55.8¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?	Yes	$50	20.0¢	Lost
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$100	55.0¢	Won
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$200	64.0¢	Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$710	70.5¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during the May meeting?	Yes	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?	Yes	$200	46.9¢	Lost
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?	Yes	$200	30.0¢	Won
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$100	52.3¢	Won
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$97	87.8¢	Won
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?	Yes	$435	59.9¢	Lost
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$48	48.0¢	Won
Solana above $130 on March 28?	No	$100	42.6¢	Won
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?	No	$400	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	$50	24.5¢	Won
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$100	66.0¢	Won
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$94	52.0¢	Lost
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?	Yes	$250	62.7¢	Won
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?	Yes	$735	66.9¢	Won
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?	Yes	$285	75.8¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$447	59.5¢	Won
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?	Yes	$70	70.0¢	Won
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?	Yes	$80	67.0¢	Won
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$30	45.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?	Yes	$200	51.9¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$204	73.0¢	Won
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?	Yes	$225	62.6¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	Yes	$438	68.9¢	Won
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$93	62.0¢	Won
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	No	$50	53.0¢	Lost
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$200	24.0¢	Lost
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$341	66.5¢	Won
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$65	75.8¢	Won
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$1.3k	37.5¢	Lost
Will the next James Bond be British?	Yes	$275	82.4¢	Lost

Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
No$143 @ 67.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
Yes$200 @ 86.0¢
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$222 @ 37.8¢
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Lost
No$70 @ 35.0¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$149 @ 39.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?Won
Yes$132 @ 66.0¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$165 @ 81.9¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?Lost
Yes$72 @ 72.0¢
Will 'GIRLS BAND CRY' win Crunchyroll's Best Original Anime Award for 2025?Lost
Yes$100 @ 74.3¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Won
Yes$424 @ 77.3¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?Won
Yes$112 @ 85.7¢
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$30 @ 52.0¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Lost
Yes$100 @ 38.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Won
No$200 @ 63.0¢
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$151 @ 55.8¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Lost
Yes$50 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
Yes$100 @ 55.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Lost
Yes$200 @ 64.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
Yes$710 @ 70.5¢
Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during the May meeting?Won
Yes$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Lost
Yes$200 @ 46.9¢
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Won
Yes$200 @ 30.0¢
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$100 @ 52.3¢
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$97 @ 87.8¢
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?Lost
Yes$435 @ 59.9¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
Solana above $130 on March 28?Won
No$100 @ 42.6¢
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?Won
No$400 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Won
Yes$50 @ 24.5¢
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Won
Yes$100 @ 66.0¢
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$94 @ 52.0¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?Won
Yes$250 @ 62.7¢
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$735 @ 66.9¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?Won
Yes$285 @ 75.8¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$447 @ 59.5¢
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?Won
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?Won
Yes$80 @ 67.0¢
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
Yes$30 @ 45.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Lost
Yes$200 @ 51.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
No$204 @ 73.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?Won
Yes$225 @ 62.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Won
Yes$438 @ 68.9¢
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$93 @ 62.0¢
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 53.0¢
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$200 @ 24.0¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$341 @ 66.5¢
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$65 @ 75.8¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 37.5¢
Will the next James Bond be British?Lost
Yes$275 @ 82.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$1.2k	46.4¢
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$765	35.7¢
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$318	29.4¢
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$200	31.4¢
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$200	33.7¢
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$200	57.0¢
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$148	0.6¢
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$100	17.7¢
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	Yes	$68	38.0¢

Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$1.2k @ 46.4¢
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$765 @ 35.7¢
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$318 @ 29.4¢
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$200 @ 31.4¢
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$200 @ 33.7¢
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$200 @ 57.0¢
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$148 @ 0.6¢
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$100 @ 17.7¢
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
Yes$68 @ 38.0¢