← Smart money
0x1d1a…324e
SharpEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
46% @ 38.3¢
Brier
0.191
Resolved
2445
Avg size
$20
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (448/853) | +23% | 853 |
| Politics | 56% (59/105) | +6% | 105 |
| Sports | 6% (1/16) | -48% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (6/9) | +12% | 9 |
| Crypto | 60% (3/5) | +117% | 5 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | +80% | 2 |
- Other853 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (448/853)
- ROI
- +23%
- Politics105 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (59/105)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports16 bets
- Hit rate
- 6% (1/16)
- ROI
- -48%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (6/9)
- ROI
- +12%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +117%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +80%
Track record
52% hit · 518/990- Yes$28 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 61.2¢
- Timmy Cuamba$3 @ 3.0¢
- No$32 @ 61.6¢
- No$5 @ 65.0¢
- No$28 @ 80.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- No$75 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 54.3¢
- No$53 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 40.0¢
- No$24 @ 28.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
- No$115 @ 50.4¢
- No$22 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
- No$7 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$212 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 29.4¢
- No$3 @ 8.0¢
- Canadiens$25 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.9¢
- No$36 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$13 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 84.2¢
- No$38 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- No$7 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$41 @ 34.2¢
- No$12 @ 22.3¢
- No$23 @ 56.6¢
- No$55 @ 67.0¢
- No$18 @ 19.1¢
- No$48 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$174 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$34 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 54.0¢
- No$1 @ 7.0¢
- No$0 @ 27.0¢
- No$28 @ 71.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | Politics | Yes | $40 | 61.2¢ |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | Politics | Yes | $28 | 55.0¢ |
- Yes$40 @ 61.2¢
- Yes$28 @ 55.0¢