← Smart money
0x1cc1…b8df
SharpEdge
+8.0pp
ROI
+53%
Win rate
32% @ 24.0¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
7065
Avg size
$383
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (128/243) | +60% | 243 |
| Politics | 24% (5/21) | +53% | 21 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (2/4) | +6% | 4 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -19% | 3 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other243 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (128/243)
- ROI
- +60%
- Politics21 bets
- Hit rate
- 24% (5/21)
- ROI
- +53%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -19%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 136/272- Yes$100 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$135 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$833 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$558 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$267 @ 7.2¢
- No$7.7k @ 76.8¢
- Yes$57.0k @ 11.3¢
- No$717 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$8.5k @ 8.5¢
- Yes$256 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$569 @ 48.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$196 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$149.1k @ 15.6¢
- Yes$380 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$11.3k @ 85.3¢
- No$9.0k @ 89.6¢
- No$78 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$505 @ 50.0¢
- No$2 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 56.7¢
- No$8.6k @ 10.5¢
- No$12.2k @ 40.2¢
- Yes$640 @ 32.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 77.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 12.7¢
- No$7.0k @ 67.0¢
- No$19.4k @ 5.5¢
- No$79.8k @ 71.3¢
- No$3.2k @ 37.7¢
- No$4.9k @ 44.5¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 79.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$10.7k @ 18.0¢
- Yes$8.0k @ 21.2¢
- No$45 @ 75.0¢
- No$438 @ 72.3¢
- No$500 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$335 @ 66.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 68.0¢
- No$23 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$356 @ 49.6¢
- No$33.9k @ 66.3¢
- Yes$34.2k @ 11.7¢
- Crawford$16.5k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 42.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 80.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 69.1¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 61.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $133.3k | 90.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $70.1k | 90.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $32.2k | 62.8¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $9.4k | 63.0¢ |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Politics | No | $4.5k | 76.3¢ |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $2.1k | 24.6¢ |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $507 | 2.2¢ |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Tech | No | $489 | 55.1¢ |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Tech | Yes | $279 | 17.0¢ |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Tech | No | $159 | 38.2¢ |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Tech | Yes | $85 | 53.0¢ |
- No$133.3k @ 90.0¢
- Yes$70.1k @ 90.0¢
- No$32.2k @ 62.8¢
- Yes$9.4k @ 63.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 76.3¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 24.6¢
- Yes$507 @ 2.2¢
- No$489 @ 55.1¢
- Yes$279 @ 17.0¢
- No$159 @ 38.2¢
- Yes$85 @ 53.0¢