0x1b92…0a99

Specialization by sphere

• Other100 bets

  Hit rate

  53% (53/100)

  ROI

  +28%

• Politics15 bets

  Hit rate

  93% (14/15)

  ROI

  +47%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +24%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +25%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +41%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +217%

• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$173 @ 89.5¢
• Colts vs. SeahawksWon
  Seahawks$150 @ 88.0¢
• Thunder vs. JazzWon
  Thunder$24 @ 79.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$6 @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$3.8k @ 78.4¢
• Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?Won
  Yes$19 @ 77.0¢
• Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Won
  No$25 @ 82.9¢
• Blackhawks vs. BluesWon
  Blues$15 @ 52.0¢
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$100 @ 47.0¢
• Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?Won
  Yes$74 @ 70.0¢
• Spurs vs. LakersLost
  Lakers$18 @ 68.0¢
• Avalanche vs. PredatorsLost
  Avalanche$15 @ 67.0¢
• Heat vs. NetsWon
  Heat$20 @ 71.0¢
• MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Lost
  No$13 @ 47.9¢
• Temple Owls vs. Villanova WildcatsWon
  Villanova Wildcats$7 @ 87.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$1.2k @ 87.5¢
• Blue Jackets vs. PanthersWon
  Panthers$28 @ 61.0¢
• Texas Longhorns vs. Connecticut HuskiesWon
  Connecticut Huskies$20 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Won
  Yes$20 @ 53.0¢
• Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 2.9¢
• Rockets vs. MavericksLost
  Rockets$27 @ 72.0¢
• Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Won
  Yes$40 @ 53.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$9.8k @ 81.5¢
• Pelicans vs. NetsWon
  Nets$7 @ 62.0¢
• Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Lost
  No$1 @ 15.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$116 @ 29.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
• Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-22?Won
  No$62 @ 87.0¢
• Kansas State Wildcats vs. Indiana HoosiersLost
  Kansas State Wildcats$17 @ 17.0¢
• Stars vs. WildLost
  Stars$23 @ 57.0¢
• Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
• Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?Won
  Yes$12 @ 45.0¢
• UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
  Pantoja$16 @ 66.0¢
• Rockets vs. SunsLost
  Suns$6 @ 5.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 69.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$8.0k @ 79.0¢
• Hurricanes vs. PredatorsWon
  Hurricanes$20 @ 62.0¢
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
  No$93 @ 74.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
  No$2.2k @ 84.6¢
• Texans vs. ChiefsWon
  Texans$47 @ 52.0¢
• Utah vs. BruinsLost
  Utah$20 @ 32.0¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Lost
  Yes$42 @ 24.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$1.6k @ 88.0¢
• Rockets vs. NuggetsLost
  Rockets$5 @ 51.0¢
• Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Won
  Under$15 @ 52.0¢
• Clippers vs. TimberwolvesWon
  Timberwolves$10 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Won
  Yes$3 @ 52.3¢
• Kings vs. GrizzliesWon
  Grizzlies$10 @ 55.0¢
• Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$51 @ 75.7¢
• Madrid Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Emilio NavaWon
  Emilio Nava$840 @ 84.0¢

Current positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$919 @ 57.9¢