0x1b78…e589

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1b78d19802696ceda6d94ba956a8d1386efee589
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

66% @ 60.7¢

Brier

0.171

Resolved

2510

Avg size

$37

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (318/504)	+10%	504
Sports	58% (44/76)	+8%	76
Science	75% (15/20)	-10%	20
Politics	100% (1/1)	+12%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other504 bets
Hit rate
63% (318/504)
ROI
+10%
Sports76 bets
Hit rate
58% (44/76)
ROI
+8%
Science20 bets
Hit rate
75% (15/20)
ROI
-10%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

63% hit · 378/602

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	$21	43.0¢	Lost
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas	Lorenzo Sonego	$58	58.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?	No	$14	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on May 17?	No	$15	88.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 1?	No	$14	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?	No	$14	89.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	PARIVISION	$354	44.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Team Falcons	$555	74.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Heroic	$166	83.0¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	$41	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C or below on May 19?	No	$0	5.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	fnatic	$269	79.9¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$755	75.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?	No	$14	89.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage	paiN Academy	$29	29.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	$187	75.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Isurus	$65	65.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	$39	39.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	Legacy	$128	64.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	$120	60.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5	Over	$201	66.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	G2	$201	67.0¢	Won
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5	Over	$61	61.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	Gentle Mates	$43	43.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$250	50.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner	TYLOO	$25	49.0¢	Won
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$47	11.7¢	Lost
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga	Prenga	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs	LOUD	$145	54.0¢	Won
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tommy Paul	$110	55.0¢	Won
Will BetBoom Team win IEM Atlanta 2026?	Yes	$29	14.7¢	Lost
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots	Yes	$45	4.4¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	5.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 Winner	Lynn Vision	$21	21.0¢	Won
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	$54	54.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Kinoa (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	BIG Academy	$87	65.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	BESTIA Academy	$36	36.0¢	Won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	$28	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 2?	No	$43	89.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5	Over	$154	76.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	BESTIA Academy	$268	55.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C or higher on May 18?	No	$43	89.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Sashi Esport	$106	53.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	$113	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 1?	No	$14	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 18?	No	$14	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 17?	No	$14	89.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	9z	$41	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 10?	No	$15	88.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 9?	No	$14	85.0¢	Won

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerLost
Bounty Hunters Esports$21 @ 43.0¢
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas ButvilasLost
Lorenzo Sonego$58 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?Won
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on May 17?Won
No$15 @ 88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 1?Won
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?Won
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
PARIVISION$354 @ 44.3¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group AWon
Team Falcons$555 @ 74.0¢
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Won
Heroic$166 @ 83.0¢
New York Yankees vs. AthleticsWon
New York Yankees$41 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C or below on May 19?Won
No$0 @ 5.0¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageWon
fnatic$269 @ 79.9¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$755 @ 75.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?Won
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageLost
paiN Academy$29 @ 29.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffsLost
Team Falcons$187 @ 75.0¢
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerWon
Isurus$65 @ 65.0¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerLost
1WIN$39 @ 39.0¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Lost
Legacy$128 @ 64.0¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Lost
Vitality$120 @ 60.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Lost
Over$201 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Won
G2$201 @ 67.0¢
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Won
Over$61 @ 61.0¢
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLost
Gentle Mates$43 @ 43.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$250 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerWon
TYLOO$25 @ 49.0¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$47 @ 11.7¢
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian PrengaLost
Prenga$6 @ 6.0¢
Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsWon
LOUD$145 @ 54.0¢
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas EtcheverryWon
Tommy Paul$110 @ 55.0¢
Will BetBoom Team win IEM Atlanta 2026?Lost
Yes$29 @ 14.7¢
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsLost
Yes$45 @ 4.4¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 5.1¢
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 WinnerWon
Lynn Vision$21 @ 21.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsWon
Atlanta Braves$54 @ 54.0¢
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Kinoa (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsWon
BIG Academy$87 @ 65.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageWon
BESTIA Academy$36 @ 36.0¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersWon
Cleveland Guardians$28 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 2?Lost
No$43 @ 89.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Lost
Over$154 @ 76.0¢
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageWon
BESTIA Academy$268 @ 55.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C or higher on May 18?Won
No$43 @ 89.5¢
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsLost
Sashi Esport$106 @ 53.0¢
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)Won
Aurora Gaming$113 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 1?Won
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 18?Won
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 17?Won
No$14 @ 89.0¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Won
9z$41 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 10?Won
No$15 @ 88.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 9?Won
No$14 @ 85.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2.1k	0.9¢
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	—	Misa Esports	$723	65.7¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	—	TheMongolz	$696	58.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$565	56.5¢
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A	—	Inner Circle Academy	$401	80.2¢
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	—	Down	$373	49.8¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	—	MOUZ	$366	66.5¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Sports	Natus Vincere	$361	60.2¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$359	1.2¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	—	PARIVISION	$354	44.3¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Sports	FUT Esports	$345	57.5¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$319	16.0¢
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	Sports	Legacy	$314	62.9¢
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group A	—	INFURITY Gaming	$314	81.1¢
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Sports	Yes	$291	8.5¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Sports	PARIVISION	$280	56.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$270	54.0¢
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group B	Sports	Oxuji Esports	$250	50.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$250	50.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 4?	—	Yes	$250	11.4¢
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	—	FURIA	$246	66.6¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	—	Yes	$241	40.2¢
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5	—	Over	$234	78.0¢
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	—	Tricked	$234	46.8¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Sports	Nemiga	$232	58.0¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	—	FaZe Up Next	$231	57.7¢
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)	—	G2 Ares	$231	38.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	—	No	$225	90.0¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	—	K27	$222	44.4¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	—	Legacy	$220	44.0¢

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2.1k @ 0.9¢
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs—
Misa Esports$723 @ 65.7¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3—
TheMongolz$696 @ 58.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$565 @ 56.5¢
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A—
Inner Circle Academy$401 @ 80.2¢
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET—
Down$373 @ 49.8¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner—
MOUZ$366 @ 66.5¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Sports
Natus Vincere$361 @ 60.2¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
No$359 @ 1.2¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3—
PARIVISION$354 @ 44.3¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Sports
FUT Esports$345 @ 57.5¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$319 @ 16.0¢
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Sports
Legacy$314 @ 62.9¢
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group A—
INFURITY Gaming$314 @ 81.1¢
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Sports
Yes$291 @ 8.5¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Sports
PARIVISION$280 @ 56.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$270 @ 54.0¢
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BSports
Oxuji Esports$250 @ 50.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$250 @ 50.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 4?—
Yes$250 @ 11.4¢
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier—
FURIA$246 @ 66.6¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?—
Yes$241 @ 40.2¢
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5—
Over$234 @ 78.0¢
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs—
Tricked$234 @ 46.8¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsSports
Nemiga$232 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs—
FaZe Up Next$231 @ 57.7¢
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)—
G2 Ares$231 @ 38.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?—
No$225 @ 90.0¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs—
K27$222 @ 44.4¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3—
Legacy$220 @ 44.0¢