0x1b0d…e9e9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1b0d557c27feea8b9cce49943de1ef8651e5e9e9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+20.0pp

ROI

+132%

Win rate

73% @ 53.5¢

Brier

0.195

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	74% (14/19)	+17%	19
Politics	63% (10/16)	+181%	16
Crypto	89% (8/9)	+48%	9
Geopolitics	83% (5/6)	-1%	6
Sports	100% (1/1)	+6%	1

Other19 bets
Hit rate
74% (14/19)
ROI
+17%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
63% (10/16)
ROI
+181%
Crypto9 bets
Hit rate
89% (8/9)
ROI
+48%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
-1%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+6%

Track record

75% hit · 38/51

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$1	97.1¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$5	91.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$1	70.0¢	Lost
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$1	91.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?	No	$1	99.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	No	$1	98.3¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$2	29.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?	No	$1	99.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?	No	$1	99.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?	No	$1	94.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	32.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$2	72.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$4	70.6¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$9	39.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	31.4¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$2	24.7¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$1	63.3¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$11	79.8¢	Won
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.4¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	65.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	31.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	72.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	8.1¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$12	97.4¢	Won
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	91.7¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	$2	97.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1	93.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$3	64.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$3	43.4¢	Lost
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$5	93.8¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1	98.2¢	Won
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	97.7¢	Won
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	94.0¢	Won
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	$1	99.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?	No	$1	99.9¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$1	97.2¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	No	$1	99.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?	No	$1	99.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?	No	$1	99.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	No	$3	99.5¢	Won
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	$2	16.8¢	Lost

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Won
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 97.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$5 @ 91.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
Yes$1 @ 91.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?Won
No$1 @ 99.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?Won
No$1 @ 98.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 29.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?Won
No$1 @ 99.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?Won
No$1 @ 99.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Won
No$1 @ 94.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$2 @ 72.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$4 @ 70.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 39.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 31.4¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$2 @ 24.7¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 63.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$1 @ 37.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$11 @ 79.8¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.4¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 65.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 31.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 72.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 8.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
No$12 @ 97.4¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 91.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 97.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1 @ 93.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$3 @ 64.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 43.4¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$5 @ 93.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 98.2¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 97.7¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Won
No$1 @ 99.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?Won
No$1 @ 99.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 97.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?Won
No$1 @ 99.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?Won
No$1 @ 99.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?Won
No$1 @ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Won
No$3 @ 99.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Lost
No$2 @ 16.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	No	$30	92.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$5	69.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	—	No	$2	99.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	80.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Politics	No	$1	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	Yes	$1	7.0¢

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
No$30 @ 92.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$5 @ 69.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?—
No$2 @ 99.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?Politics
No$1 @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢