0x1b0d…e9e9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1b0d557c27feea8b9cce49943de1ef8651e5e9e9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+22.3pp

ROI

+61%

Win rate

82% @ 59.3¢

Brier

0.173

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (4/6)	+44%	6
Politics	67% (2/3)	+101%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+76%	3

Other6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+44%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+101%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+76%

Track record

67% hit · 8/12

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	32.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$2	72.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$4	70.6¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$9	39.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	31.4¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$2	24.7¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$1	63.3¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$11	79.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	65.7¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$2 @ 72.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$4 @ 70.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 39.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 31.4¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$2 @ 24.7¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 63.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$1 @ 37.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$11 @ 79.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 65.7¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	No	$24	92.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$12	97.4¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	91.7¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolitics	Yes	$5	93.8¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4	83.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$4	68.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	Crypto	No	$3	99.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$3	64.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$3	43.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	92.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Politics	No	$2	16.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	80.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?	Crypto	No	$1	99.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Politics	No	$1	95.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?	Crypto	No	$1	99.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?	Crypto	No	$1	99.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Politics	No	$1	98.2¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	94.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1	97.7¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1	88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$1	93.0¢

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
No$24 @ 92.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$12 @ 97.4¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 91.7¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolitics
Yes$5 @ 93.8¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$4 @ 83.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$4 @ 68.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Crypto
No$3 @ 99.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
No$3 @ 64.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$3 @ 43.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 92.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
No$2 @ 16.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?Crypto
No$1 @ 99.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?Politics
No$1 @ 95.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?Crypto
No$1 @ 99.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?Crypto
No$1 @ 99.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
No$1 @ 98.2¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 97.7¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 93.0¢