0x1b05…1553

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1b0558feffff17e20e2b3679a0a73800f8101553
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.9pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

22% @ 15.7¢

Brier

0.137

Resolved

241

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	27% (18/67)	+33%	67
Sports	21% (3/14)	-68%	14
Tech	33% (1/3)	-60%	3

Other67 bets
Hit rate
27% (18/67)
ROI
+33%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
21% (3/14)
ROI
-68%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-60%

Track record

26% hit · 22/84

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	$20	4.9¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)	Real Madrid CF	$11	1.5¢	Lost
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$12	24.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	$12	31.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$51	1.2¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	$1	41.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?	Yes	$2	65.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$11	53.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$10	9.5¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$5	32.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$23	18.8¢	Won
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?	Yes	$11	2.1¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$41	0.4¢	Lost
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$53	8.8¢	Lost
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals	Yes	$11	1.9¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$3	34.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$5	0.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Won
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-07?	Yes	$2	22.0¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$21	36.2¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$11	1.0¢	Lost
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	5.8¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$16	8.6¢	Lost
Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-17?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?	No	$22	0.1¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$30	32.3¢	Won
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?	Yes	$1	70.0¢	Won
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	Yes	$2	31.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$4	16.0¢	Lost
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-24?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$121	5.2¢	Lost
Spread: England (-1.5)	England	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	AS Roma	$5	2.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?	Yes	$1	51.0¢	Won
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$14	0.8¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?	Yes	$131	7.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$194	3.5¢	Lost

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$20 @ 4.9¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-4.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$3 @ 0.1¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$11 @ 1.5¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Won
Yes$12 @ 24.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?Lost
Yes$12 @ 31.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$51 @ 1.2¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Lost
No$1 @ 41.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?Won
Yes$2 @ 65.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
No$11 @ 53.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$23 @ 18.8¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.1¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$41 @ 0.4¢
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-21?Lost
Yes$53 @ 8.8¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsLost
Yes$11 @ 1.9¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
Portugal$3 @ 34.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$5 @ 0.1¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-07?Lost
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$21 @ 36.2¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.0¢
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Won
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.8¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$16 @ 8.6¢
Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Lost
No$22 @ 0.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$30 @ 32.3¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?Lost
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?Won
Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 16.0¢
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?Lost
Yes$121 @ 5.2¢
Spread: England (-1.5)Lost
England$10 @ 10.0¢
Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Lost
AS Roma$5 @ 2.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Won
Yes$1 @ 51.0¢
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.8¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?Won
Yes$131 @ 7.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?Lost
Yes$194 @ 3.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$20	4.9¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$13	13.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Sports	Yes	$12	24.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$11	1.5¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-4.5)	Sports	Real Madrid CF	$3	0.1¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$2	25.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	49.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	21.0¢
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	12.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	1.8¢

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$20 @ 4.9¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Sports
Yes$12 @ 24.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$11 @ 1.5¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-4.5)Sports
Real Madrid CF$3 @ 0.1¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢