← Smart money
0x1adc…c60d
SharpEdge
-14.6pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
40% @ 54.3¢
Brier
0.189
Resolved
68
Avg size
$342
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 61% (14/23) | -49% | 23 |
| Sports | 100% (3/3) | +70% | 3 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +15% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (14/23)
- ROI
- -49%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +70%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +15%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
66% hit · 19/29- No$30 @ 94.2¢
- No$43 @ 86.0¢
- Tulane$3 @ 68.0¢
- No$50 @ 86.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$2.5k @ 51.0¢
- Wizards$320 @ 32.0¢
- Bucks$335 @ 67.0¢
- Warriors$18 @ 88.0¢
- No$81 @ 70.0¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- No$35 @ 79.5¢
- Hawks$587 @ 19.0¢
- No$22 @ 89.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 81.0¢
- Cavaliers$57 @ 88.0¢
- Pelicans$229 @ 16.0¢
- Dodgers$5.6k @ 64.0¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 64.0¢
- No$58 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 81.0¢
- No$8 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 89.5¢
- Raptors$1.6k @ 46.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
- Blue Jays$2.0k @ 35.0¢
- Mavericks$997 @ 73.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Politics | No | $30 | 94.2¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $27 | 68.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $25 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $25 | 4.2¢ |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 10.0¢ |
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?PoliticsNo$30 @ 94.2¢
- Yes$27 @ 68.0¢
- No$25 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 10.0¢