0x1ad1…7c88

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1ad11b10c3e65feb123d48b9501867ce81677c88
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.1pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

79% @ 54.3¢

Brier

0.135

Resolved

Avg size

$298

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (11/26)	+35%	26
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+42%	2

Other26 bets
Hit rate
42% (11/26)
ROI
+35%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+42%

Track record

46% hit · 13/28

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$1	26.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	No	$8	77.0¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	No	$8	84.0¢	Lost
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$2	14.7¢	Lost
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$13	77.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	62.0¢	Won
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?	Yes	$1	17.2¢	Lost
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?	No	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$8	0.3¢	Lost
Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?	Yes	$0	5.9¢	Lost
Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?	Yes	$0	6.8¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high by December 31?	No	$11	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$6	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	$25	56.0¢	Lost
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?	No	$1	5.5¢	Lost
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$2.7k	34.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$18.9k	64.8¢	Won
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?	Yes	$2	36.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$7	51.0¢	Won
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?	Yes	$1	23.2¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$10	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	No	$17	77.5¢	Won

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Won
Yes$1 @ 26.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?Won
No$8 @ 77.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Lost
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?Lost
Yes$2 @ 14.7¢
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Won
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$13 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 62.0¢
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.2¢
Will Wisconsin be the closest state? Lost
No$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.3¢
Will Jeanette Nunez be appointed as the next Florida senator?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.9¢
Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Lost
Yes$0 @ 6.8¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31?Won
No$11 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$6 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Lost
No$25 @ 56.0¢
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Lost
No$1 @ 5.5¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
No$2.7k @ 34.9¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$18.9k @ 64.8¢
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Won
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$7 @ 51.0¢
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.2¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$10 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Won
No$17 @ 77.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$20	50.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$18	60.0¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$15	98.8¢
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$15	97.9¢

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$18 @ 60.0¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$15 @ 98.8¢
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$15 @ 97.9¢