0x1a9c…079d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1a9cfddd25dfa4f5b99f39bb928fdaed4e6a079d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.3pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

27% @ 19.0¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

205

Avg size

$27

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	25% (14/56)	+56%	56
Science	100% (8/8)	+7%	8
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other56 bets
Hit rate
25% (14/56)
ROI
+56%
Science8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+7%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 22/67

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 1?	No	$40	96.8¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 29?	No	$351	98.5¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 29?	No	$50	99.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?	No	$731	98.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	$1.4k	97.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	No	$1.6k	88.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	$1.3k	95.3¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 23?	No	$352	87.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	$27	8.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 24?	Yes	$10	5.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?	No	$8	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	$9	6.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	$48	7.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	No	$172	72.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?	Yes	$16	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	$12	0.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	No	$0	14.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	$273	73.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 8?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$115	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	$4	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	$5	2.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	No	$12	9.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	$5	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 1?	No	$64	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	$459	76.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	$135	32.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	$9	4.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	$14	21.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	$1.4k	65.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	$89	49.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	Yes	$33	73.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?	No	$30	59.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	$25	32.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 6?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	$531	84.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20?	No	$549	71.7¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 26?	Yes	$4	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	$4	7.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 6?	Yes	$7	12.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$472	22.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	Yes	$28	5.8¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$102	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	$4	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Lost

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 1?Won
No$40 @ 96.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 29?Won
No$351 @ 98.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 29?Won
No$50 @ 99.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?Won
No$731 @ 98.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?Won
No$1.4k @ 97.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?Won
No$1.6k @ 88.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?Won
No$1.3k @ 95.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 23?Won
No$352 @ 87.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Lost
Yes$27 @ 8.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 24?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?Won
No$8 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 24?Lost
Yes$9 @ 6.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$48 @ 7.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?Won
No$172 @ 72.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Won
No$12 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?Won
No$0 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?Lost
Yes$273 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 8?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$115 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 7?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 5?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?Won
No$12 @ 9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 1?Won
No$64 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 4?Lost
Yes$459 @ 76.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?Won
Yes$135 @ 32.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 20?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?Won
Yes$14 @ 21.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 65.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?Lost
Yes$89 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?Lost
Yes$33 @ 73.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?Lost
No$30 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?Won
Yes$25 @ 32.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?Lost
Yes$531 @ 84.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20?Won
No$549 @ 71.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 13?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 6?Lost
Yes$7 @ 12.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$472 @ 22.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?Lost
Yes$28 @ 5.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$102 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 5?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 10?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?	—	No	$2.1k	98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 10?	—	No	$1.5k	76.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 8?	—	Yes	$520	97.7¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$500	25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	—	Yes	$354	12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?	—	No	$278	80.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$260	17.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?	—	No	$230	90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	—	Yes	$127	30.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?	—	Yes	$119	12.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$109	1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7?	—	Yes	$79	59.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?	—	Yes	$73	38.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 28?	—	Yes	$55	15.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?	—	Yes	$52	19.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$49	0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?	—	No	$47	1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	—	Yes	$46	7.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 8?	—	No	$44	2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?	—	No	$42	93.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	—	Yes	$39	15.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?	—	No	$34	7.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	—	Yes	$31	65.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	—	Yes	$30	49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	—	Yes	$30	7.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 7?	Science	No	$29	97.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	—	Yes	$27	5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 17?	—	Yes	$27	25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 26?	—	Yes	$24	82.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?	—	No	$24	81.9¢

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?—
No$2.1k @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 10?—
No$1.5k @ 76.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 8?—
Yes$520 @ 97.7¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$500 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?—
Yes$354 @ 12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?—
No$278 @ 80.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$260 @ 17.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?—
No$230 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?—
Yes$127 @ 30.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?—
Yes$119 @ 12.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$109 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7?—
Yes$79 @ 59.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?—
Yes$73 @ 38.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 28?—
Yes$55 @ 15.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?—
Yes$52 @ 19.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$49 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?—
No$47 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?—
Yes$46 @ 7.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 8?—
No$44 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?—
No$42 @ 93.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?—
Yes$39 @ 15.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?—
No$34 @ 7.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?—
Yes$31 @ 65.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?—
Yes$30 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?—
Yes$30 @ 7.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 7?Science
No$29 @ 97.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?—
Yes$27 @ 5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 17?—
Yes$27 @ 25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 26?—
Yes$24 @ 82.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?—
No$24 @ 81.9¢