← Smart money
0x1a80…6b2b
ProfitableEdge
+24.2pp
ROI
+103%
Win rate
47% @ 22.9¢
Brier
0.335
Resolved
51
Avg size
$42
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 17% (3/18) | -31% | 18 |
| Sports | 38% (6/16) | +82% | 16 |
- Other18 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (3/18)
- ROI
- -31%
- Sports16 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (6/16)
- ROI
- +82%
Track record
26% hit · 9/34- No$581 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$965 @ 44.8¢
- Yes$650 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$160 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$53 @ 2.1¢
- Switzerland$22 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$107 @ 49.8¢
- Knicks vs. SpursLostSpurs$21 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 19.3¢
- Aston Villa FC$106 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$54 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$203 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 53.0¢
- Over$32 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.5¢
- Belgium$106 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 60.0¢
- Knicks vs. 76ersLost76ers$1 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 49.7¢
- Yes$536 @ 34.9¢
- Yes$277 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$80 @ 51.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
- No$20 @ 32.9¢
- Under$20 @ 60.1¢
- Yes$32 @ 34.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | Sports | Yes | $965 | 44.8¢ |
| Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | Sports | No | $581 | 27.5¢ |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $100 | 25.6¢ |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $92 | 14.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Politics | No | $10 | 72.0¢ |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $7 | 1.2¢ |
- Yes$965 @ 44.8¢
- No$581 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$92 @ 14.0¢
- No$10 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.2¢