← Smart money
0x1a4f…85d0
SharpEdge
+32.9pp
ROI
+33%
Win rate
100% @ 67.1¢
Brier
0.110
Resolved
57
Avg size
$45
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +20% | 2 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +52% | 1 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +52% | 1 |
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +20%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +52%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +52%
Track record
100% hit · 5/5| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | $305 | 87.0¢ | Won |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | $984 | 82.0¢ | Won |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $316 | 65.8¢ | Won |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | $280 | 79.9¢ | Won |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | $660 | 66.0¢ | Won |
- No$305 @ 87.0¢
- No$984 @ 82.0¢
- No$316 @ 65.8¢
- No$280 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$660 @ 66.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…