0x19f6…09bc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x19f60e1ee3d2217b8c3c46fcfefc0742402a09bc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.0pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

76% @ 66.4¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

153

Avg size

$22

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (14/24)	+10%	24
Politics	30% (3/10)	+60%	10
Science	60% (3/5)	-23%	5
Sports	67% (2/3)	+129%	3
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-5%	3

Other24 bets
Hit rate
58% (14/24)
ROI
+10%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
+60%
Science5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-23%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+129%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-5%

Track record

51% hit · 23/45

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 4?	No	$14	91.7¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$51	51.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$48	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 29?	No	$66	83.0¢	Won
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$57	57.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?	No	$28	71.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?	Yes	$44	44.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	$10	32.8¢	Won
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?	Yes	$32	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?	No	$89	89.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	$163	76.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	$340	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	No	$216	77.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 4?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 23?	No	$190	79.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?	No	$204	85.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	$13	26.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	2.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$141	47.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 24?	No	$8	82.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$84	16.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 24?	No	$49	88.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	$29	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 3?	Yes	$19	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?	Yes	$20	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	$2	2.8¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$70	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	$138	45.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	$89	88.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 16?	No	$104	88.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 17?	No	$249	89.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$1	50.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 29?	No	$17	82.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	$109	42.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$7	3.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?	No	$401	81.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 30?	Yes	$9	32.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	No	$17	28.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	$195	88.5¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 4?Won
No$14 @ 91.7¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$51 @ 51.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 29?Won
No$66 @ 83.0¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$57 @ 57.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?Won
No$28 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?Lost
Yes$44 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?Won
Yes$10 @ 32.8¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Won
Yes$32 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?Lost
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?Won
No$163 @ 76.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Won
No$340 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?Lost
No$216 @ 77.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 23?Won
No$190 @ 79.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?Won
No$204 @ 85.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?Won
Yes$13 @ 26.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$141 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 24?Won
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$84 @ 16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 24?Won
No$49 @ 88.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$29 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$19 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?Lost
Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$70 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$138 @ 45.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?Won
No$89 @ 88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 16?Won
No$104 @ 88.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 17?Won
No$249 @ 89.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 50.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 29?Won
No$17 @ 82.6¢
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Won
TYLOO$109 @ 42.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 3.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?Won
No$401 @ 81.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 30?Lost
Yes$9 @ 32.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?Lost
No$17 @ 28.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?Won
No$195 @ 88.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5?	Science	No	$73	55.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 5?	Science	No	$43	94.8¢

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5?Science
No$73 @ 55.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 5?Science
No$43 @ 94.8¢