0x19ae…395c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x19ae9efef67c685a8581d631d99267b1ff10395c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

44% @ 37.0¢

Brier

0.235

Resolved

611

Avg size

$632

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (39/82)	+23%	82
Politics	50% (1/2)	-93%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other82 bets
Hit rate
48% (39/82)
ROI
+23%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-93%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 40/85

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	$3.1k	48.0¢	Lost
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5	Under	$2.6k	52.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	$2.7k	30.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	$100	23.5¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$2.6k	72.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner	Aurora Gaming	$5.5k	33.0¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	$1.8k	36.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	$2.0k	56.5¢	Won
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner	Yakult Brothers	$1.0k	52.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	$7.2k	60.0¢	Won
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	$3.8k	37.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	magic	$2.2k	38.2¢	Won
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	$1.0k	39.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$2.4k	36.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	$10.7k	31.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	$2.0k	49.8¢	Lost
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winner	Pibbles Corp	$104	13.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Natus Vincere	$8.3k	38.0¢	Lost
Portland Timbers vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$3.5k	49.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs BBL (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	BBL	$1.5k	50.0¢	Won
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner	Cloud9	$7.3k	36.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	$4.4k	46.1¢	Won
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$3.3k	55.4¢	Won
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	$104	27.0¢	Lost
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$7.5k	53.4¢	Lost
AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$102	66.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	MIBR	$2.1k	33.0¢	Lost
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Under	$944	47.0¢	Won
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion	$4.5k	35.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	Metizport	$1.5k	37.0¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$6.5k	45.8¢	Lost
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	$17	58.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	$1.0k	27.7¢	Lost
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)	FURIA	$1.0k	56.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	Liquid	$428	58.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	$6.7k	39.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Legacy	$2.5k	44.8¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?	No	$2.5k	47.0¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner	JD Gaming	$26.0k	54.0¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Under	$205	50.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	MOUZ	$7.7k	56.4¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner	Fire Flux Esports	$1.0k	38.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	NRG	$2.4k	30.1¢	Lost
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Cloud9	$8.3k	41.8¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	Liquid	$2.1k	49.0¢	Won
Korea Open, Qualification: Xinxin Yao vs Priscilla Hon	Xinxin Yao	$3.1k	39.6¢	Won
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	$6.3k	34.6¢	Won
Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	$1.0k	57.3¢	Won
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	$4.9k	47.4¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner	Fire Flux Esports	$103	31.4¢	Lost

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$3.1k @ 48.0¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Lost
Under$2.6k @ 52.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerLost
FlyQuest$2.7k @ 30.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerLost
FlyQuest$100 @ 23.5¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team Liquid$2.6k @ 72.0¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 WinnerLost
Aurora Gaming$5.5k @ 33.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerLost
Movistar KOI$1.8k @ 36.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerWon
Natus Vincere$2.0k @ 56.5¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerWon
Yakult Brothers$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerWon
Vitality$7.2k @ 60.0¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$3.8k @ 37.5¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerWon
magic$2.2k @ 38.2¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
G2 Esports$1.0k @ 39.8¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$2.4k @ 36.8¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerLost
FURIA$10.7k @ 31.3¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerLost
MOUZ$2.0k @ 49.8¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 WinnerLost
Pibbles Corp$104 @ 13.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsLost
Natus Vincere$8.3k @ 38.0¢
Portland Timbers vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$3.5k @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs BBL (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BWon
BBL$1.5k @ 50.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 4 WinnerWon
Cloud9$7.3k @ 36.6¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerWon
Aurora Gaming$4.4k @ 46.1¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerWon
Invictus Gaming$3.3k @ 55.4¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerLost
Shopify Rebellion$104 @ 27.0¢
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$7.5k @ 53.4¢
AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$102 @ 66.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLost
MIBR$2.1k @ 33.0¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Won
Under$944 @ 47.0¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsWon
Shopify Rebellion$4.5k @ 35.2¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ALost
Metizport$1.5k @ 37.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLost
Invictus Gaming$6.5k @ 45.8¢
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Lost
No$17 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerLost
MOUZ$1.0k @ 27.7¢
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)Won
FURIA$1.0k @ 56.0¢
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BLost
Liquid$428 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerWon
Aurora Gaming$6.7k @ 39.0¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BLost
Legacy$2.5k @ 44.8¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?Won
No$2.5k @ 47.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerWon
JD Gaming$26.0k @ 54.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Won
Under$205 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsLost
MOUZ$7.7k @ 56.4¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerLost
Fire Flux Esports$1.0k @ 38.0¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLost
NRG$2.4k @ 30.1¢
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsWon
Cloud9$8.3k @ 41.8¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BWon
Liquid$2.1k @ 49.0¢
Korea Open, Qualification: Xinxin Yao vs Priscilla HonWon
Xinxin Yao$3.1k @ 39.6¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 WinnerWon
Shopify Rebellion$6.3k @ 34.6¢
Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles SparksWon
Los Angeles Sparks$1.0k @ 57.3¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Top Esports$4.9k @ 47.4¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerLost
Fire Flux Esports$103 @ 31.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner	—	GamerLegion	$3.1k	48.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$2.0k	49.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$1.5k	63.2¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	—	No	$1.1k	35.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1.1k	54.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Tech	No	$169	51.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	No	$101	65.9¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$100	9.9¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$100	96.9¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	78.6¢
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Politics	No	$100	87.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$100	36.0¢
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Tech	No	$100	32.8¢
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Sports	Yes	$100	13.0¢
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Politics	No	$100	10.6¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$100	12.0¢
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Sports	Yes	$11	3.8¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolitics	No	$10	13.0¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$7	65.0¢
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	—	No	$1	49.0¢
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	—	No	$0	0.0¢

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner—
GamerLegion$3.1k @ 48.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$2.0k @ 49.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$1.5k @ 63.2¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?—
No$1.1k @ 35.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
Yes$1.1k @ 54.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
No$169 @ 51.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
No$101 @ 65.9¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics
Yes$100 @ 9.9¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics
Yes$100 @ 96.9¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 78.6¢
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics
No$100 @ 87.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$100 @ 36.0¢
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Tech
No$100 @ 32.8¢
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Sports
Yes$100 @ 13.0¢
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Politics
No$100 @ 10.6¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$100 @ 12.0¢
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Sports
Yes$11 @ 3.8¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$7 @ 65.0¢
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?—
No$1 @ 49.0¢
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?—
No$0 @ 0.0¢