0x1992…fd4d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x19929193e79a572ee11f4a56a8962c031db9fd4d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.9pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

61% @ 44.2¢

Brier

0.107

Resolved

Avg size

$12

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (17/26)	+22%	26
Politics	100% (3/3)	+19%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Other26 bets
Hit rate
65% (17/26)
ROI
+22%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

70% hit · 21/30

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?	Yes	$10	43.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	Yes	$4	45.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$5	11.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$10	34.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?	No	$5	47.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	$50	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?	No	$120	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$26	85.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?	No	$5	39.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?	Yes	$10	77.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$10	89.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 4?	No	$15	84.0¢	Won
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?	Yes	$21	14.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?	No	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	$15	87.1¢	Won
Mercury vs. Mystics	Mercury	$25	80.0¢	Won
Solana above $185 on January 3?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?	No	$20	90.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?	No	$15	68.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?	No	$5	22.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?	Yes	$10	56.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?	No	$4	70.0¢	Won
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic	Alcaraz	$8	74.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	$3	8.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?	No	$5	58.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?	No	$7	43.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	No	$11	52.0¢	Lost

Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?Won
Yes$10 @ 43.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Lost
No$5 @ 11.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
No$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Won
No$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Won
No$50 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?Won
No$120 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Won
No$26 @ 85.0¢
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Lost
No$5 @ 39.0¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?Won
Yes$10 @ 77.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
No$10 @ 89.0¢
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 4?Won
No$15 @ 84.0¢
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? Lost
Yes$21 @ 14.0¢
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?Lost
No$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Won
No$15 @ 87.1¢
Mercury vs. MysticsWon
Mercury$25 @ 80.0¢
Solana above $185 on January 3?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?Won
No$20 @ 90.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?Won
No$15 @ 68.0¢
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Won
No$5 @ 22.0¢
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?Won
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?Won
No$4 @ 70.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicWon
Alcaraz$8 @ 74.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Lost
No$3 @ 8.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?Won
No$5 @ 58.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Won
No$7 @ 43.0¢
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$117	94.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$72	94.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	Crypto	No	$54	99.0¢

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
No$117 @ 94.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$72 @ 94.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?Crypto
No$54 @ 99.0¢