0x1970…398d

Specialization by sphere

• Other359 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (170/359)

  ROI

  +18%

• Politics28 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (12/28)

  ROI

  +12%

• Sports11 bets

  Hit rate

  55% (6/11)

  ROI

  -1%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +69%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +19%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +14%

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
  No$14.7k @ 98.8¢
• Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 44.8¢
• Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Won
  No$4 @ 73.0¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$3.2k @ 84.0¢
• Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
  Yes$169 @ 23.8¢
• Will Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
  Yes$19 @ 4.2¢
• Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Lost
  Yes$857 @ 24.2¢
• Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Won
  Yes$2 @ 77.0¢
• Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
  Yes$543 @ 66.9¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
  No$146 @ 73.0¢
• Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Won
  No$192 @ 48.0¢
• Will Perfectly a Strangeness win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 8.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
  No$80 @ 57.0¢
• Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$708 @ 37.9¢
• Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?Won
  Yes$83 @ 46.0¢
• Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 3.0¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Won
  Yes$79 @ 53.0¢
• Will "The Ballad of Wallis Island" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
• Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 16.0¢
• Will Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 4.8¢
• Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Lost
  Yes$256 @ 10.0¢
• Will Monokate win Vidbir 2026?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 5.8¢
• Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$57 @ 51.5¢
• Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
  No$141 @ 83.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$910 @ 70.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$168 @ 28.0¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$38 @ 38.0¢
• Will "I Swear" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
• Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 11.9¢
• Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$108 @ 51.4¢
• Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 60.0¢
• Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 3.4¢
• Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Won
  No$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 68.8¢
• Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Won
  No$47 @ 72.1¢
• Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 2.4¢
• Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
  Yes$129 @ 14.3¢
• Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 45.9¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
  Yes$149 @ 49.6¢
• Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 37.7¢
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$163 @ 63.0¢
• Georgescu banned from Romania election?Lost
  No$18 @ 35.0¢
• Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?Won
  No$62 @ 77.0¢
• Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$127 @ 7.2¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 26.2¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Lost
  Yes$300 @ 60.0¢
• Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$5 @ 81.0¢
• Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
  Yes$56 @ 14.0¢
• Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Won
  No$242 @ 71.2¢
• Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 21.0¢

Current positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$21.7k @ 98.8¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10.8k @ 92.5¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.9k @ 66.4¢
• Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.9k @ 8.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 31.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$948 @ 79.0¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$844 @ 78.8¢
• Will Sligo Rovers be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?Sports
  Yes$838 @ 95.2¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$792 @ 66.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$790 @ 79.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$732 @ 69.7¢
• U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics
  No$704 @ 88.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$668 @ 47.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$642 @ 37.6¢
• X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics
  No$447 @ 76.8¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$399 @ 54.8¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$322 @ 35.8¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$320 @ 40.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$307 @ 21.9¢
• Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$231 @ 2.1¢
• Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?Sports
  No$225 @ 88.6¢
• Will Shelbourne be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?Sports
  No$213 @ 89.8¢
• Manchester City punishment announced by October 9?Sports
  No$202 @ 92.5¢
• Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$176 @ 0.8¢
• Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$165 @ 3.3¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$156 @ 78.0¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$139 @ 1.8¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$120 @ 6.0¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$117 @ 78.0¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$98 @ 82.0¢