← Smart money
0x1948…f9bb
SharpEdge
+15.2pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
67% @ 51.5¢
Brier
0.178
Resolved
96
Avg size
$241
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (6/16) | +8% | 16 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (6/16)
- ROI
- +8%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
35% hit · 6/17- No$710 @ 56.4¢
- No$477 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 33.6¢
- No$195 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$10.3k @ 83.3¢
- Yes$126 @ 55.2¢
- No$244 @ 44.4¢
- No$97 @ 7.2¢
- No$502 @ 42.9¢
- No$74 @ 7.0¢
- No$3.7k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 0.5¢
- No$884 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$512 @ 2.3¢
- No$2.8k @ 84.0¢
- No$309 @ 44.2¢
- No$74 @ 1.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? | — | Yes | $2.8k | 33.6¢ |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | Tech | No | $710 | 56.4¢ |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | — | Yes | $511 | 2.3¢ |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10? | — | No | $502 | 42.9¢ |
| Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode? | — | No | $477 | 74.5¢ |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11? | — | Yes | $126 | 55.2¢ |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | — | No | $98 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1? | — | No | $97 | 7.2¢ |
| Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | — | No | $74 | 7.0¢ |
- Yes$2.8k @ 33.6¢
- No$710 @ 56.4¢
- Yes$511 @ 2.3¢
- No$502 @ 42.9¢
- No$477 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$126 @ 55.2¢
- No$98 @ 13.0¢
- No$97 @ 7.2¢
- No$74 @ 7.0¢