← Smart money
0x193a…35c0
SharpEdge
+0.5pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
5% @ 4.0¢
Brier
0.028
Resolved
6314
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 10% (57/593) | +15% | 593 |
| Politics | 0% (0/14) | -100% | 14 |
| Culture | 0% (0/10) | -100% | 10 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other593 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (57/593)
- ROI
- +15%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/14)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture10 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/10)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
9% hit · 57/619- Yes$14 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
- No$15 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
- No$3 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$24 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$495 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$37 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
- No$3 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$108 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$480 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$16 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$184 @ 32.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$120 @ 0.2¢
- No$7 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$6 @ 56.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $37 | 3.7¢ |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ |
| Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $4 | 2.9¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 24.0¢ |
- Yes$37 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?GeopoliticsYes$4 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 24.0¢