← Smart money
0x1846…aefe
SharpEdge
+10.3pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
79% @ 69.0¢
Brier
0.140
Resolved
468
Avg size
$83
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 79% (11/14) | +7% | 14 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +21% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other14 bets
- Hit rate
- 79% (11/14)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +21%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
75% hit · 12/16| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | No | $263 | 81.2¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $892 | 74.3¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $2.7k | 79.3¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | $420 | 84.0¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | No | $2.7k | 65.9¢ | Lost |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) | Team Falcons | $41 | 81.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | No | $137 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | No | $1.6k | 63.2¢ | Won |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | No | $344 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1.1k | 82.6¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | $704 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | $3.5k | 85.5¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | $5.9k | 51.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | No | $1.4k | 89.1¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $17.0k | 67.0¢ | Won |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026? | No | $299 | 38.6¢ | Lost |
- No$263 @ 81.2¢
- No$892 @ 74.3¢
- No$2.7k @ 79.3¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$2.7k @ 65.9¢
- Team Falcons$41 @ 81.0¢
- No$137 @ 89.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 63.2¢
- No$344 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 82.6¢
- No$704 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 85.5¢
- No$5.9k @ 51.7¢
- No$1.4k @ 89.1¢
- No$17.0k @ 67.0¢
- No$299 @ 38.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $296 | 98.6¢ |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $296 | 98.6¢ |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $294 | 98.2¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $292 | 97.5¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $291 | 97.1¢ |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $290 | 96.8¢ |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | No | $288 | 96.2¢ |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $261 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $196 | 97.8¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $185 | 92.6¢ |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $52 | 98.1¢ |
- No$296 @ 98.6¢
- No$296 @ 98.6¢
- No$294 @ 98.2¢
- No$292 @ 97.5¢
- No$291 @ 97.1¢
- No$290 @ 96.8¢
- No$288 @ 96.2¢
- No$261 @ 87.0¢
- No$196 @ 97.8¢
- No$185 @ 92.6¢
- No$52 @ 98.1¢