0x182f…de4f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x182f1878b1cc3224790b31635b579858ecfcde4f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.7pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

61% @ 56.2¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

2752

Avg size

$18

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (111/177)	+5%	177
Sports	75% (12/16)	+0%	16
Politics	86% (6/7)	+25%	7
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+111%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other177 bets
Hit rate
63% (111/177)
ROI
+5%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
75% (12/16)
ROI
+0%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+25%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+111%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

64% hit · 130/203

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01?	No	$30	83.0¢	Won
Will Orsomarso SC win on 2026-10-01?	No	$35	84.0¢	Won
Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	No	$16	70.0¢	Won
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?	No	$19	74.0¢	Won
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01?	No	$27	79.0¢	Won
Will Lithuania vs. Andorra end in a draw?	No	$278	73.0¢	Won
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner	MVK Esports	$157	78.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	$28	47.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?	No	$250	59.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?	Yes	$2	36.0¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	Kiwoom DRX	$987	75.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	$23	76.2¢	Won
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	$239	79.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	$5	83.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$9	23.4¢	Lost
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?	No	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	Yes	$18	13.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	No	$88	87.6¢	Won
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?	No	$2	77.3¢	Won
Will Bolivia vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	No	$382	79.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	$231	79.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	$219	69.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	Yes	$290	61.2¢	Won
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	$24	78.7¢	Won
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	$3	12.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?	Yes	$11	57.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	$98	40.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?	No	$232	69.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?	Yes	$16	18.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner	ex-RUBY	$2	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?	No	$81	81.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$25	83.3¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$11	54.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?	No	$158	63.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?	Yes	$18	88.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	$53	88.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?	Yes	$5	7.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	$312	41.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	39.2¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	$428	76.4¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	ex-HEROIC	$39	32.2¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$4.0k	46.7¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$57	56.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?	Yes	$1	8.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?	No	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?	Yes	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?	No	$360	74.0¢	Won
Adana: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Anastasia Gasanova	Anastasia Gasanova	$174	71.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	$675	82.3¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	$2	19.0¢	Won

Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$30 @ 83.0¢
Will Orsomarso SC win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$35 @ 84.0¢
Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$16 @ 70.0¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$19 @ 74.0¢
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01?Won
No$27 @ 79.0¢
Will Lithuania vs. Andorra end in a draw?Won
No$278 @ 73.0¢
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerLost
MVK Esports$157 @ 78.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Won
Yes$28 @ 47.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?Lost
No$250 @ 59.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?Won
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerWon
Kiwoom DRX$987 @ 75.5¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageWon
Aurora Gaming$23 @ 76.2¢
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Won
Kiwoom DRX Challengers$239 @ 79.7¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 83.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 23.4¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Won
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 13.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Won
No$88 @ 87.6¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?Won
No$2 @ 77.3¢
Will Bolivia vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Won
No$382 @ 79.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Won
No$231 @ 79.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Lost
No$219 @ 69.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Won
Yes$290 @ 61.2¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerWon
BetBoom Team$24 @ 78.7¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerLost
PlayTime$3 @ 12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?Won
Yes$11 @ 57.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Won
No$98 @ 40.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?Won
No$232 @ 69.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?Lost
Yes$16 @ 18.3¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerWon
ex-RUBY$2 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?Won
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Won
No$25 @ 83.3¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$11 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?Won
No$158 @ 63.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?Won
Yes$18 @ 88.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Won
No$53 @ 88.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Won
No$312 @ 41.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 39.2¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageWon
Team Falcons$428 @ 76.4¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageLost
ex-HEROIC$39 @ 32.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4.0k @ 46.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$57 @ 56.8¢
Will Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Won
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?Won
No$360 @ 74.0¢
Adana: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Anastasia GasanovaLost
Anastasia Gasanova$174 @ 71.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Won
No$675 @ 82.3¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerWon
Gen.G$2 @ 19.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Orsomarso SC win on 2026-10-01?	Sports	No	$35	84.0¢
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01?	Sports	No	$30	83.0¢

Will Orsomarso SC win on 2026-10-01?Sports
No$35 @ 84.0¢
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01?Sports
No$30 @ 83.0¢