← Smart money
0x1715…dbe9
ProfitableEdge
+14.4pp
ROI
+26%
Win rate
54% @ 39.9¢
Brier
0.242
Resolved
105
Avg size
$27
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 40% (20/50) | +32% | 50 |
| Sports | 53% (10/19) | +20% | 19 |
- Other50 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (20/50)
- ROI
- +32%
- Sports19 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (10/19)
- ROI
- +20%
Track record
43% hit · 30/69- Yes$25 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 55.0¢
- No$15 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 38.0¢
- No$30 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- No$23 @ 51.0¢
- No$23 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 59.0¢
- No$20 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$151 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 38.0¢
- No$12 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 37.0¢
- No$15 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 55.0¢
- No$26 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 71.3¢
- No$35 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
- No$10 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 51.9¢
- No$15 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 69.6¢
- No$20 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 77.0¢
- No$20 @ 36.0¢
- No$30 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 47.9¢
- No$263 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 18.2¢
- Under$18 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 70.2¢
- No$29 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 27.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $50 | 12.6¢ |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $25 | 41.0¢ |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $25 | 28.0¢ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | No | $25 | 24.0¢ |
| Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $25 | 17.0¢ |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $24 | 69.0¢ |
| Will Anthony Elanga score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | — | No | $20 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 6.8¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Business | No | $20 | 11.0¢ |
| Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $15 | 56.0¢ |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Sports | United States | $13 | 35.0¢ |
| Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $11 | 15.3¢ |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $10 | 2.3¢ |
- Yes$50 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$25 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 28.0¢
- No$25 @ 24.0¢
- No$25 @ 17.0¢
- No$24 @ 69.0¢
- No$20 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 6.8¢
- No$20 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 56.0¢
- United States$13 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.3¢