← Smart money
0x1715…dbe9
ProfitableEdge
+7.1pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
46% @ 38.9¢
Brier
0.239
Resolved
372
Avg size
$27
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 42% (92/217) | +14% | 217 |
| Sports | 48% (29/60) | -2% | 60 |
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other217 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (92/217)
- ROI
- +14%
- Sports60 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (29/60)
- ROI
- -2%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 121/282- Yes$20 @ 61.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 21.4¢
- Spain$31 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 58.0¢
- Club Atlético de Madrid$20 @ 37.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 45.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 55.0¢
- No$10 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 52.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 54.0¢
- No$15 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 43.0¢
- No$30 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 32.0¢
- No$60 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 48.9¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 63.0¢
- No$23 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 46.0¢
- No$23 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.9¢
- Under$5 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 46.0¢
- No$30 @ 47.0¢
- FC Bayern München$120 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 59.0¢
- FC Bayern München$28 @ 38.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $45 | 15.6¢ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | No | $25 | 24.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Business | No | $20 | 11.0¢ |
- Yes$45 @ 15.6¢
- No$25 @ 24.0¢
- No$20 @ 11.0¢